In this article, we will formulate a NY Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 31st at Yankee Stadium in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.
NY Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 79-56 this year and they have lost two of their last three games. New York won game one in this series by a score of 6-3 on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Yankees lost two out of three against the Nationals, won two out of three against the Rockies, and won two out of three against the Guardians. New York is 6-3 in their last nine games and they are first in the AL East.
The New York pitching staff has a 3.75 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .234 opponent batting average. The Yankees offense has scored 684 runs with a .251 batting average and a .334 on base percentage. Aaron Judge is batting .331 with 51 home runs and 123 RBI’s for the Yankees this season.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview
The St. Louis Cardinals are 67-68 this season and they have won two of their last three games. St. Louis dropped the first game in this series and allowed six runs in the loss. Prior to this series, the Cardinals split four games with the Padres, won two out of three against the Twins, and won two out of three against the Brewers. St. Louis is 6-4 in their last 10 games and they are third in the NL Central.
The St. Louis pitching staff has a 4.15 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .250 opponent batting average. The Cardinals offense has scored 552 runs with a .247 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Paul Goldschmidt is batting .240 with 20 home runs and 55 RBI’s for the Cardinals this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for New York is Will Warren, who is 0-2 with a 9.68 ERA and a 1.81 WHIP over 17.2 innings pitched this year. Warren has allowed at least four earned runs in three of his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Kyle Gibson, who is 7-6 with a 4.54 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 140.2 innings pitched this season. Gibson has allowed at least four earned runs in three of his last five starts.
Why the Yankees will beat the Cardinals
- The home team has won nine of the last 10 games between the Cardinals and Yankees.
- The Cardinals have lost five of their last six games following a road loss.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in five of their last six games at Yankee Stadium.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three games at Yankee Stadium.
- The Cardinals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road day games.
Why the Cardinals will beat the Yankees
- The Cardinals have won each of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Yankees have lost five of their last six games as home favorites against National League opponents following a win.
- The Cardinals have covered the run line each of their last seven day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Cardinals’ last five day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Yankees’ last four day games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last seven games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last three games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Juan Soto has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with his team as a favorite against the Cardinals.
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in each of his last four home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Juan Soto has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances against the Cardinals.
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last six home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Giancarlo Stanton has scored at least one run in each of his last six home appearances against the Cardinals.
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances after playing the previous day.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Nolan Arenado has hit a home run in each of the Cardinals’ last two games as underdogs against the Yankees.
- Masyn Winn has recorded a Double in six of the Cardinals’ last seven games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Cardinals’ last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Nolan Arenado has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine road appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Kyle Gibson has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 road appearances.
- Alec Burleson has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances with the Cardinals as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against the Yankees.
- Willson Contreras has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances with his team as an underdog against AL East opponents.
NY Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
New York was coming off of a bad series loss in Washington earlier this week, but they were able to bounce back with a win in game one of this series. The Yankees are 37-29 at home this year, while the Cardinals are 31-36 on the road. St. Louis has won six of their last ten games, but they are 25th in the MLB in runs scored this year. I don’t love how either starting pitcher has looked over the last few weeks, so I think we are going to see plenty of runs here. Take the over.