NY Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 9-1-24 MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a NY Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, September 1st at Yankee Stadium in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.

NY Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 79-57 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. New York won game one in this series by a score of 6-3, but did lose game two. Prior to this series, the Yankees lost two out of three against the Nationals, won two out of three against the Rockies, and won two out of three against the Guardians. New York is 6-4 in their last 10 games and they are first in the AL East. 

The New York pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .234 opponent batting average. The Yankees offense has scored 689 runs with a .251 batting average and a .334 on base percentage. Aaron Judge is batting .330 with 51 home runs and 123 RBI’s for the Yankees this season.

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals are 68-68 this year and they have won three of their last four games. St. Louis won game two by a score of 6-5 on Saturday afternoon. Prior to this series, the Cardinals split four games with the Padres, won two out of three against the Twins, and won two out of three against the Brewers. St. Louis is 7-4 in their last 11 games and they are third in the NL Central. 

The St. Louis pitching staff has a 4.15 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .250 opponent batting average. The Cardinals offense has scored 558 runs with a .247 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Paul Goldschmidt is batting .240 with 20 home runs and 55 RBI’s for the Cardinals this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for New York is Nestor Cortes, who is 8-10 with a 3.89 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 155.0 innings pitched this year. Cortes has allowed a total of one earned run in his last three starts (20.2 IP). The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Miles Mikolas, who is 8-10 with a 5.23 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 149.2 innings pitched this season. Mikolas has allowed at least four earned runs in four of his last five starts. 

Why the Yankees will beat the Cardinals

• The Cardinals have lost each of their last six games following a road win.
• The Yankees have won each of their last five day games following a loss.
• The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against American League opponents following a road win.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in four of their last five day games following a home loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Yankees’ last eight games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Cardinals’ last six day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last eight games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last four games as underdogs against AL East opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Anthony Rizzo has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Juan Soto has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against the Cardinals.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Nestor Cortes Jr. has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances.
• Oswaldo Cabrera has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances after playing the previous day.
• Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances in day games.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Nestor Cortes Jr. has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five Sunday appearances.
• DJ LeMahieu has scored at least one run in each of his six previous appearances with his team as a favorite against the Cardinals.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

• Miles Mikolas has recorded three or more strikeouts in each of his last 20 appearances with the Cardinals as underdogs.
• Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four road appearances against the Yankees.
• Alec Burleson has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances with the Cardinals as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 14 appearances against the Yankees.
• Nolan Arenado has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 road appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Nolan Gorman has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
• Paul Goldschmidt has recorded a Double in four of the Cardinals’ last five games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances against the Yankees.

NY Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 

New York comes into this game looking for another series win and they are trying to stay in front of the Orioles in the AL East. The Yankees are 37-30 at home this year, while the Cardinals are 32-36 on the road. New York is starting Nestor Cortes, who has pitched very well in his last three starts, but those outings did come against some weaker offenses. The Cardinals are going with Miles Mikolas, who has not pitched well over the last few weeks and should have his hands full here. I think the New York offense is going to have a big day and I like them to win by at least two runs.