In this article we will formulate an Orioles vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 25th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 50-54 this season after they lost game one by a score of 6-7 in 10 innings. Baltimore blew a 3-2 lead in the eighth inning and they allowed four runs in the 10th for the disappointing loss. The Orioles recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Encarnacion-Strand, who went 2-4 with one home run and four RBIs. Rogers allowed six hits and two earned runs over 7.0 innings, while Garcia blew the save and Kittredge got the loss. Prior to this series, Baltimore lost two out of three against the Red Sox, but did sweep the Astros in three games before that.
This season, Baltimore has a 4.18 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .251 opponent batting average, while they have scored 478 runs with a .239 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 21 home runs and 66 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 17 home runs and 44 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Brandon Young, who is 8-2 with a 3.25 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 91.1 innings pitched this year.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 61-42 this year after they won game one by a score of 7-6 on Friday night. Atlanta tied the game in the eighth inning and scored four runs in the 10th, but nearly blew the lead in the bottom of the 10th before getting the win. The Braves recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Olson, who went 2-5 with one home run and three RBIs. Holmes allowed six hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Hernandez got the win in relief. Prior to this series, Atlanta won three out of four against the Padres and two out of three against the Rangers.
This season, Atlanta has a 3.69 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while they have scored 515 runs with a .250 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Matt Olson has led the Braves with 27 home runs and 63 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin has added 20 home runs and 56 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Bryce Elder, who is 6-6 with a 4.06 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 108.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Braves have lost each of their last eight road games against AL East opponents following a road win.
- The Orioles have won each of their last five night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards after going to extra innings.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against American League opponents after going to extra innings.
- The Orioles have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against NL East opponents.
- The Orioles have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against the Braves.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Orioles have lost each of their last six games as favorites against NL East opponents following a home loss.
- The underdogs have won each of the last five games between the Braves and Orioles.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Braves’ last seven games.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games against National League opponents.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in seven of their last nine games.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against American League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Braves’ last eight games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Orioles’ last five night games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Orioles’ last eight games as favorites.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in six of the Braves’ last seven night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Christian Encarnacion-Strand has hit a home run in three of the Orioles’ last four games.
- Brandon Young has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances.
- Pete Alonso has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 home appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Drake Baldwin has hit a home run in each of his last five appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a losing record.
- Bryce Elder has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Braves as underdogs against AL opponents.
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with his team as an underdog against the Orioles.
Orioles vs Braves Prediction
Atlanta comes into this matchup on a three game winning streak and they have scored 20 runs in those three games. The Braves are 29-22 on the road this year, while the Orioles are 28-26 at home. Baltimore has lost three of their last four games and they have allowed 19 runs in those three losses. The Orioles are starting Young, who has allowed 1, 3, 4, 2, and 1 earned run over his last five starts, while Elder has allowed 3+ earned runs in four of his last five outings. Take the Orioles to win here.