In this article we will formulate an Orioles vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, September 19th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 75-79 this year after they lost game one by a score of 5-6 in extra innings. Baltimore erased a 5-3 deficit in the ninth inning, but failed to score in the 10th for the loss. The Orioles recorded 12 hits in the game and they were led by Alonso, who went 1-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Povich allowed five hits and three earned runs over 3.2 innings, while Wolfram picked up the loss. Prior to this series, Baltimore swept the Mets in three games, but lost two out of three against the Blue Jays before that.
This season, Baltimore has a 4.15 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP and a .254 opponent batting average, while they have scored 693 runs with a .235 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 38 home runs and 105 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 23 home runs and 58 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Trevor Rogers, who is 10-10 with a 4.22 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 157.2 innings pitched this year.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 96-58 this season after they won game one by a score of 6-5 last night. Milwaukee blew a 3-0 lead in the third inning and a 5-3 lead in the ninth, but they rallied for the win in extras. The Brewers recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Chourio, who went 2-5 with one home run and three RBIs. May allowed six hits and three earned runs over 2.1 innings, while Megill blew the save and got the win. Prior to this series, Milwaukee won two out of three against the Pirates and two out of three against the Reds.
This season, Milwaukee has a 3.59 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .224 opponent batting average, while they have scored 798 runs with a .259 batting average and a .342 on base percentage. Jake Bauers has led the Brewers with 26 home runs and 83 RBIs, while Brice Turang has added 19 home runs and 93 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Robert Gasser, who is 4-5 with a 4.30 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 96.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Orioles have won six of their last seven games as underdogs after going to extra innings.
- The Brewers have lost five of their last six games as road favorites following an extra innings win.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs after going to extra innings.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight day games against AL opponents following a win.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against AL East opponents.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last six games against AL East opponents.
- The Orioles have lost each of their last four day games against NL opponents.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games against NL opponents following a home loss.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against AL East opponents following a road win.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in eight of their last 10 games against AL opponents.
- The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in 14 of their last 16 Saturday day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six day games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against NL opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Brewers’ last 10 road games following an extra innings win have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Orioles’ last four home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Orioles’ last seven games as home underdogs against NL opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in nine of the Brewers’ last 10 games against AL opponents.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Pete Alonso has hit a home run in four of the Orioles’ last five games as underdogs against NL opponents.
- Trevor Rogers has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances with the Orioles as underdogs against NL opponents.
- Coby Mayo has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last seven day games.
- Trevor Rogers has recorded a win in four of his five previous appearances against the Brewers.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Jake Bauers has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
- Robert Gasser has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances with the Brewers as road favorites.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against AL East opponents.
Orioles vs Brewers Prediction
Milwaukee was able to escape game one with a win on Friday night and they have won three of their last four games. The Brewers are 44-32 on the road this year, while the Orioles are 36-40 at home. Baltimore has also won three of their last four games and they have scored 19 runs in their last three. The O’s are starting Rogers, who has allowed 4, 1, 2, 6, and 3 earned runs in his last five starts, while Gasser has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight outings. Take the Brewers once again here.