In this article we will formulate an Orioles vs Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, July 9th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 42-51 this year after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 2-5 and 7-9. In game two, Baltimore led 3-1 in the fourth inning, but they allowed the next eight runs for the loss. The Orioles recorded 14 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Alonso, who went 1-5 with one home run and two RBIs. Kremer allowed six hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Wolfram allowed three earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Baltimore won two out of three against the Reds, but did lose two out of three against the White Sox before that.
This season, Baltimore has a 4.40 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP and a .253 opponent batting average, while they have scored 425 runs with a .239 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 20 home runs and 62 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 16 home runs and 40 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Trevor Rogers, who is 6-7 with a 4.70 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 84.1 innings pitched this year.
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
The Chicago Cubs are 52-40 this season after they won game two by a score of 9-7 on Wednesday. Chicago led 9-3 in the seventh inning, but they allowed the next four runs and barely hung on for the win. The Cubs recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Suzuki, who went 1-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Rea allowed seven hits and three earned runs over 5.1 innings for the win, while Webb picked up the save. Prior to this series, Chicago lost two out of three against the Cardinals, but did win all three against the Padres before that.
This season, Chicago has a 4.36 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while they have scored 469 runs with a .244 batting average and a .338 on base percentage. Dansby Swanson has led the Cubs with 16 home runs and 58 RBIs, while Ian Happ has added 17 home runs and 41 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is David Peterson, who is 4-7 with a 6.75 ERA and a 1.67 WHIP over 77.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Cubs have lost eight of their last nine day games against American League opponents.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 day games against American League opponents.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last four day games against the Cubs following a loss.
- The Cubs have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last eight day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Orioles have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Cubs have won each of their last four games as underdogs against the Orioles.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against the Orioles.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The Orioles have lost the first inning in each of their last six Thursday games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Cubs have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against AL East opponents.
- The Cubs have led after 3 innings in each of their last six day games against the Orioles.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Cubs’ last six games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Orioles’ last five games as home favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Cubs’ last eight Thursday games.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the last four games between the Cubs and Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Trevor Rogers has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his four previous appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL Central opponents.
- Trevor Rogers has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances.
- Jeremiah Jackson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against NL opponents.
- Jeremiah Jackson has hit at least one home run in three of his last four home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- David Peterson has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog against AL opponents.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 16 games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Michael Conforto has hit a home run in four of his last five road appearances against the Orioles after playing the previous day.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong is one of only two players to record 10+ Home Runs and 4+ Triples this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Orioles rank 27th in the league for strikeouts against this season (848).
- The Orioles rank 4th in the league for walks this season (355).
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for walks this season (404).
- The Cubs rank 29th in the league for home runs allowed this season (141).
Orioles vs Cubs Prediction
Baltimore comes into this matchup on a three game losing streak and they have allowed 5+ runs in three of their last four. The Orioles are 24-25 at home this year, while the Cubs are 25-21 on the road. Chicago has won three in a row and they have scored 20 runs in those three games. The Cubs are starting Peterson, who has allowed 4+ earned runs in three of his last five outings, while Rogers has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. Take the Orioles here.