In this article we will formulate an Orioles vs Mariners prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, June 11th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 32-37 this season after they lost two of the first three games in this series by scores of 3-6, 5-6, and 7-2. In game three, Baltimore scored the first seven runs in the game and they cruised to the win. The Orioles recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Holliday, who went 1-4 with one home run and four RBIs. Young allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Wolfram allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Baltimore lost two out of three against the Blue Jays, but did win two out of three against the Red Sox before that.
This season, Baltimore has a 4.56 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP and a .262 opponent batting average, while they have scored 324 runs with a .241 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 14 home runs and 42 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 13 home runs and 32 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Kyle Bradish, who is 3-7 with a 3.89 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP over 69.1 innings pitched this season.
Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
The Seattle Mariners are 36-33 this year after they lost game three by a score of 2-7 on Wednesday night. In game three, Seattle was tied 0-0 after five innings, but they allowed seven runs in the sixth and seventh for the loss. The Mariners recorded four hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Naylor, who went 1-4 with one RBI. Kirby allowed seven hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Gonzalez allowed four earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Seattle lost two out of three against the Tigers, but did win two out of three against the Mets before that.
This season, Seattle has a 3.54 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 292 runs with a .237 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Julio Rodriguez has led the Mariners with 13 home runs and 33 RBIs, while Luke Raley has added 13 home runs and 31 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Bryan Woo, who is 5-4 with a 3.74 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 77.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Orioles have won each of their last five games as underdogs against the Mariners following a win.
- The Mariners have lost nine of their last 11 games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last 13 games as home underdogs against AL West opponents following a home win.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Thursday games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last nine games as favorites against AL East opponents.
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- The Mariners have won each of their last six night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards following a loss.
- The Orioles have lost nine of their last 10 night games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last four night games following a road loss.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 15 home games against AL West opponents following a win.
- The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five Thursday night games.
- The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five night games.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Mariners’ last nine games as favorites against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Kyle Bradish’s last eight home appearances as a starter.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Mariners’ last five games.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Pete Alonso has hit a home run in three of the Orioles’ last five night games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Kyle Bradish has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against AL West opponents.
- Leody Taveras has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last seven games as home underdogs.
- Taylor Ward ranks 5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.406) this season.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven road appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Cal Raleigh has hit a home run in five of his last nine appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Randy Arozarena ranks 5th in the league in Steals (18) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Orioles rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.262).
- The Orioles rank 29th in the league for hits allowed this season (618).
- The Mariners rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (182).
- The Mariners are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
Orioles vs Mariners Prediction
Baltimore was able to snap their losing streak with a win on Wednesday, but they have allowed six runs in four of their last five games. The Orioles are 20-17 at home this year, while the Mariners are 17-17 on the road. Seattle has won three of their last five games and they are going for the series win here. The Mariners are starting Woo, who has allowed 4+ earned runs in two of his last three outings, while Bradish has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. I know Bradish had a rough outing last time out, but he has been very good over the last few weeks. Take the Orioles here.