The Baltimore Orioles are visiting the Seattle Mariners on Tuesday, June 3rd at the T-Mobile Park in the opening game of this series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s Orioles vs Mariners Prediction. We will examine:
The Seattle Mariners recent form and player performance
The Baltimore Orioles recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Seattle Mariners
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Baltimore Orioles
Recent betting trends in games played between the Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners game
Seattle Mariners Preview
The Seattle Mariners have a 32-26 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the AL West. The Mariners have a 16-14 home record and 32-24 in over/under They are coming off a 2-1 home victory over the Twins, and have back-to-back wins. Over is 5-1 in their last 6 games and they are playing the Diamondbacks and the Angels next.
The Mariners have a .237 batting average this season, .321 OBP and .396 Slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 3.86 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. Julio Rodriguez leads the Mariners in hits with 57, while Cal Raleigh leads the team both in RBI with 45, and in home runs with 23. J.P. Crawford is the team’s best hitter with a .272 batting average.
George Kirby (R) will take the mound for the Mariners, and he has a 0-2 record, 11.42 ERA and 1.85 WHIP. He got torched in his only road start this season with 5 earned runs across 3.2 innings of work. George Kirby is 1-4 with an ERA of 3.82 and 29 strikeouts in 6 appearances against the Orioles in his career.
Baltimore Orioles Preview
The Baltimore Orioles have a 22-36 record this season and are sitting in the last place of the AL East. The Orioles have a 10-19 road record and 28-27 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-2 home victory over the White Sox, and are 6-2 in their last 8 games. Under is 3-0 in their last 3 games, and are playing the Athletics and the Tigers next.
The Orioles have a .237 batting average this season, .302 OBP and .385 slugging percentage. Baltimore’s pitching staff has a 5.27 ERA and 1.46 WHIP. Ryan O’Hearn leads the Orioles with 56 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .329 batting average. Cedric Mullins leads the team in RBI, with 31, and in home runs, with 10.
Tomoyuki Sugano (R) will take the mound for the Orioles, and he has a 4-3 record, 3.23 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. He has been better on the road, with a 2.73 ERA across five road starts, but he has been struggling lately, with 9 earned runs in 17.2 innings pitched in his last three starts. This will be his first career start against the Mariners.
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- The Orioles have lost each of their last eight Tuesday games.
- The Mariners have won seven of their last eight games against American League opponents following a home win.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Tuesday games.
- The Mariners have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against American League opponents following a home win.
- The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 12 road night games.
- The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six Tuesday games.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The underdogs have won each of the Orioles’ last five games at T-Mobile Park.
- The Mariners have lost four of their last five games as favorites following a win.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against American League opponents.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as underdogs against AL West opponents following a home win.
- The Orioles have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games against the Mariners.
- The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against the Mariners.
Total Runs Facts
- Twelve of the Mariners’ last 13 games as home favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Orioles’ last eight night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Orioles’ last 11 games as road underdogs.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the last eight games between the Orioles and Mariners at T-Mobile Park.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mariners rank T29th in the league for doubles this season (71).
- The Mariners are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
- The Orioles rank 29th in the league for home runs allowed this season (88).
- The Orioles rank 28th in the league for ERA this season (5.27).
Orioles vs Mariners Prediction
The Orioles are 6-2 in their last 8 meetings against the Mariners, and 4-2 in their last 6 visits in Seattle. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Seattle.
In this Orioles vs Mariners Prediction, the Mariners are coming as -147 home favorites. The Mariners are rightfully favored, as they have a far better overall record, and have been above average at home, while the Orioles have been terrible on the road. the Mariners are putting Kirby on the mound, who has not been himself this season, and even though the Mariners have a better bullpen, I don’t trust Kirby.
The Orioles have the fourth-worst bullpen ERA, and both teams are better against righties, averaging 9 runs per game against right-handed pitching. Sugano’s advanced stats show that he is due for some negative regression with a 4.48 expected ERA, so all this adds up to a recipe for a high-scoring game. Take the over 8.