In this article, we will formulate an Orioles vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 13th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 43-51 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 5-2 and 0-6. In their game two loss, Baltimore could never get their offense going, and their bullpen fell apart in the last three innings for the loss. The Orioles recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Henderson, who went 2-4 in the loss. Baltimore started Rogers, who allowed two hits and one earned run over 6.2 innings for the loss, while Blewett allowed four earned runs in relief.
Prior to this series, the Orioles won two out of three against the Mets and swept the Braves in three games. Baltimore has won six of their last eight games, and they are currently last in the AL East standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 4.86 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP and a .266 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 392 runs with a .240 batting average and a .305 on-base percentage this season. Cedric Mullins has led Baltimore with 13 home runs and 41 RBIs, while Jackson Holliday has added 12 home runs and 38 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Brandon Young, who is 0-3 with a 6.14 ERA and a 1.73 WHIP over 22.0 innings pitched this year.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 43-51 this season after they won game two by a score of 6-0 on Saturday afternoon. Miami finally broke the scoreless tie in the seventh inning, and they piled on in the ninth for the shutout win. The Marlins recorded nine hits in the game, and they were led by Hill and Edwards, who both had two RBIs in the win. Miami started Junk, who allowed five hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Henriquez picked up a hold.
Prior to this series, the Marlins split four games with the Reds and lost two out of three against the Brewers. Miami has split its last six games, and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.62 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .254 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 397 runs with a .251 batting average and a .313 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with 16 home runs and 48 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 14 home runs and 40 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Eury Perez, who is 2-2 with a 4.00 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 27.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Marlins will beat the Orioles
- The Marlins have won nine of their last 10 games as road underdogs following a win.
- The Orioles have lost each of their last five games as favorites against NL East opponents following a loss.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last 10 Sunday games as road underdogs.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against the Marlins following a loss.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in three of their last four day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last six games as underdogs against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Orioles’ last four games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Orioles’ last 11 games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Marlins’ last 10 games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in three of his last five home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
- Ramon Laureano has recorded at least one Double in three of the Orioles’ last four games as favorites.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Otto Lopez has hit a home run in two of the Marlins’ last three games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last seven games against opponents that held a losing record.
Orioles vs Marlins Prediction
Both of these teams come into this matchup with the same overall records, but Miami is third in their division, while Baltimore is last in the AL East. The Orioles are 22-24 at home this year, while the Marlins are 23-24 on the road. Miami has been very inconsistent at the plate this season, and they are facing Young, who has allowed at least three earned runs in four of his last five starts. The Marlins are starting Perez, who has allowed a total of one earned run in his last 11.0 innings. I think the Marlins have the advantage on the mound, so I like them to get the win.