The Washington Nationals and Baltimore Orioles meet on Friday in MLB action at Oriole Park. Here’s an Orioles vs Nationals Prediction. This article will include an Orioles vs Nationals Pick.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 41-41 on the year and play the Red Sox and Pirates next. The Washington Nationals are batting .247 on the season and have a .320 OBP and a .424 slugging percentage. The Washington Nationals’ pitching staff has a 4.75 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP. CJ Abrams leads the Washington Nationals with 83 hits and 57 RBI, while James Wood and Daylen Lile have combined for 161 hits and 87 RBI.
Andrew Alvarez gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he is 1-0 with a 3.34 ERA and 37 strikeouts this season. This will be Alvarez’s second career game against the Baltimore Orioles.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 38-44 on the year and play the White Sox and Reds next. The Baltimore Orioles are batting .241 on the season and have a .320 OBP and a .402 slugging percentage. The Baltimore Orioles pitching staff has a 4.43 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. Taylor Ward leads the Baltimore Orioles with 78 hits and 22 RBI, while Gunnar Henderson and Pete Alonso have combined for 154 hits and 94 RBI.
Trevor Rogers gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 4-7 with a 5.30 ERA and 54 strikeouts this season. Rogers is 3-5 with a 3.88 ERA and 44 strikeouts in his career against the Washington Nationals.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Orioles have won each of their last five home games after going to extra innings.
- The Nationals have lost each of their last five games against AL East opponents following a home loss.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against AL East opponents following a home loss.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last four games following a loss.
- The Orioles have led after 3 innings in five of their last six home night games.
- The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against NL East opponents.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Nationals have won each of their last four games as underdogs against the Orioles following a loss.
- The Orioles have lost five of their last six games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last eight road games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites after going to extra innings.
- The Nationals have won the first inning in three of their last four games.
- The Nationals have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games.
- The Nationals have led after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Fourteen of the Nationals’ last 15 night games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Orioles’ last five games as home favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Nationals’ last eight night games against American League opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Orioles’ last four games.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Jeremiah Jackson has hit at least one home run in three of his last four home appearances against NL opponents.
- Trevor Rogers has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against NL East opponents.
- Jeremiah Jackson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances against NL opponents.
- Taylor Ward ranks 9th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.389) this season.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Nasim Nunez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances.
- Luis Garcia has hit a home run in each of his last four appearances in night games.
- Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (31) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Orioles rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (749).
- The Orioles rank T26th in the league for hits allowed this season (714).
- The Nationals rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (438).
- The Nationals rank 1st in the league for RBIs this season (416).
Orioles vs Nationals Prediction
I get the Nationals are having a rough week, but they’ve still played better baseball than the Orioles, and I’m not laying juice with Rogers on the bump. Through 73 innings, Rogers has a 5.30 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. Alvarez has a smaller sample size, but he has a 3.34 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. Rogers hasn’t been the same pitcher since his rookie season, and at home through 45.2 innings, he has a 5.52 ERA and .274 allowed batting average. The Nationals have also had success on the road this season. I’ll gladly take the plus money with the Nats on the road.