In this article we will formulate an Orioles vs Padres prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, June 13th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 34-37 this season after they won game one by a score of 7-3 last night. Baltimore took a 3-1 lead in the first inning and they added three more in the second in the win. The Orioles recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Alonso, who went 1-1 with two RBIs. Baz allowed six hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Cano struck out three in one relief inning. Prior to this series, Baltimore split four games with the Mariners and lost two out of three against the Blue Jays.
This season, Baltimore has a 4.53 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP and a .261 opponent batting average, while they have scored 338 runs with a .242 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 15 home runs and 46 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 14 home runs and 33 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Trey Gibson, who is 1-1 with a 4.24 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP over 17.0 innings pitched this season.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 35-33 this year after they lost game one by a score of 7-3 on Friday night. San Diego led 1-0 in the first inning and only trailed 3-2 in the second, but they only scored one run in the last seven innings in the loss. The Padres recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Sheets, who went 2-4 with two RBIs. Canning allowed six hits and seven earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Morgan threw 1.1 innings in relief. Prior to this series, San Diego won two out of three against the Reds, but lost two out of three against the Mets before that.
This season, San Diego has a 3.95 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 258 runs with a .218 batting average and a .291 on base percentage. Manny Machado has led the Padres with 11 home runs and 34 RBIs, while Gavin Sheets has added 10 home runs and 29 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Randy Vasquez, who is 5-4 with a 3.63 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 69.1 innings pitched this year.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Padres have lost each of their last six road games.
- The Orioles have won each of their last five games against the Padres.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in eight of their last nine home games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against AL East opponents following a loss.
- The Orioles have won the first inning in each of their last three games against the Padres.
- The Orioles have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight home games.
- The Orioles have led after 5 innings in five of their last six day games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against NL West opponents.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won each of their last six Saturday games as underdogs.
- The Orioles have lost seven of their last eight Saturday games as home favorites.
- The Padres have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a road loss.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 11 games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Padres have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Padres have led after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Orioles’ last eight games as favorites against the Padres have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Padres’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last six day games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last eight Saturday games.
Orioles vs Padres Prediction
Baltimore comes into this matchup on a three game winning streak and they have scored exactly seven runs in all three of those games. The Orioles are 22-17 at home this year, while the Padres are 16-14 on the road. San Diego has alternated wins and losses over their last five games and they have allowed 5+ in the three losses. The Padres are starting Vasquez, who has allowed 4, 2, 4, and 3 earned runs in his last four starts, while Gibson has allowed 3, 1, 1, and 3 earned runs in his four outings. Vasquez doesn’t have the best numbers, but I trust him more than Gibson. Take the Padres here.