In this article we will formulate an Orioles vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 2nd at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 54-57 this year after they split the first two games by scores of 6-4 and 0-5. In game two, Baltimore pitched well for most of the game, but couldn’t get the offense going in the shutout loss. The Orioles recorded three hits and they were led by Henderson, who went 1-3 in the game. Baz allowed six hits and one earned run over 6.1 innings for the loss, while Wolfram allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Baltimore won two out of three against the Tigers, but lost two out of three against the Braves before that.
This season, Baltimore has a 4.21 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .252 opponent batting average, while they have scored 507 runs with a .236 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 23 home runs and 69 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 18 home runs and 47 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Kyle Bradish, who is 7-9 with a 3.74 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 118.0 innings pitched this year.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 58-53 this season after they won game two by a score of 5-0 last night. Philadelphia scored one run in the fifth inning and four more in the eighth to get the win. The Phillies recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Crawford, who went 1-4 with two RBIs. Sanchez allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Bowlan picked up a hold. Prior to this series, Philadelphia lost all three against the Marlins and two out of three against the Yankees.
This season, Philadelphia has a 4.24 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .252 opponent batting average, while they have scored 482 runs with a .236 batting average and a .303 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has led the Phillies with 33 home runs and 62 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added 22 home runs and 65 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Zack Wheeler, who is 10-2 with a 2.53 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP over 103.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Phillies have lost each of their last five games as favorites following a win.
- The Orioles have won five of their last six games as home underdogs following a home loss.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last six games as home underdogs following a home loss.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Phillies have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
- The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The favorites have won eight of the Orioles’ last nine games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
- The Orioles have lost five of their last six day games against National League opponents following a home loss.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Phillies’ last four games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against AL East opponents.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last five road games against AL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Orioles’ last seven home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Phillies’ last 10 games as favorites against the Orioles have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in 10 of the Orioles’ last 11 home games.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last four day games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Pete Alonso has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
- Taylor Ward has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight Sunday appearances against NL teams that held a winning record.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Trea Turner has hit a home run in two of the Phillies’ last three games.
- Zack Wheeler has recorded nine or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances.
- Bryson Stott has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 14 games as road favorites against AL opponents.
- Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in eight of his last nine appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
Orioles vs Phillies Prediction
Philadelphia snapped their losing streak with a win in game two and they have scored 5+ runs in three of their last five games. The Phillies are 30-26 on the road this year, while the Orioles are 30-28 at home. Baltimore has won three of their last five games, but they have allowed 32 runs in their last four. The Orioles are starting Bradish, who has allowed 5, 1, 1, 3, and 3 earned runs in his last five starts, while Wheeler has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four outings. Take the Phillies to get the win here.