In this article we will formulate an Orioles vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, April 26th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 13-14 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 10-3 and 1-17. In game two, Baltimore allowed the first seven runs in the game and never had a chance in the lopsided loss. The Orioles recorded six hits and they committed three errors in the game, while they were led by Taveras, who went 0-3 with one RBI. Rogers allowed four hits and three earned runs over 1.2 innings for the loss, while Wilson allowed four earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Baltimore won two out of three against the Royals, but lost three out of four against the Guardians before that.
This season, Baltimore has a 4.30 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP and a .259 opponent batting average, while they have scored 122 runs with a .240 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson has led the Orioles with eight home runs and 16 RBIs, while Jeremiah Jackson has added five home runs and 19 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Kyle Bradish, who is 1-2 with a 3.96 ERA and a 1.76 WHIP over 25.0 innings pitched this season.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 10-17 this year after they won game two by a score of 17-1 on Saturday afternoon. Boston led for pretty much the entire game and they scored 10 runs in the ninth to complete the easy win. The Red Sox recorded 17 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Contreras, who went 2-4 with one home run and five RBIs. Crochet allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Samaniego pitched a scoreless ninth in relief. Prior to this series, Boston lost all three against the Yankees and split four games with the Tigers.
This season, Boston has a 4.44 ERA with a 1.36 WHIP and a .252 opponent batting average, while they have scored 112 runs with a .233 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Wilson Contreras has led the Red Sox with five home runs and 17 RBIs, while Trevor Story has added two home runs and 17 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Connelly Early, who is 1-1 with a 2.88 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 25.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Orioles have won each of their last seven games as favorites against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Red Sox have lost each of their last four day games against American League opponents following a win.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in six of their last seven games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Red Sox have lost the first inning in seven of their last eight road games against American League opponents.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games as road underdogs.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last eight Sunday games as road underdogs.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Orioles have lost each of their last three games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
- The road team has won nine of the last 10 games between the Red Sox and Orioles.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in nine of the last 11 games between the Red Sox and Orioles.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 15 games as home favorites against American League opponents.
- The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against AL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Orioles’ last six games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Nine of the Red Sox’s last 10 road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Orioles’ last nine day games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Red Sox’s last eight road games against American League opponents.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Orioles as home favorites against the Red Sox.
- Kyle Bradish has recorded seven or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against AL opponents.
- Taylor Ward has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last nine games as favorites against AL opponents.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Trevor Story has hit a home run in three of the Red Sox’s last four day games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 11 games as road underdogs.
Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction
Boston was able to snap their losing streak with an offensive explosion on Saturday afternoon and they will hope those hot bats carry over to this game. The Red Sox are 5-9 on the road this year, while the Orioles are 7-7 at home. Baltimore has won three of their last five and they have scored at least five runs in four of those five. I am going to side with the Red Sox to get the win, as Bradish has allowed a ton of baserunners this year.