The Detroit Tigers and Baltimore Orioles meet Saturday in MLB action at Oriole Park. Here’s an Orioles vs. Tigers Prediction. This article will include an Orioles vs. Tigers Pick.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 20-32 on the year and play the Angels and White Sox next. The Detroit Tigers are batting .234 on the season and have a .316 OBP, and a .373 slugging percentage. The Detroit Tigers’ pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Riley Greene leads the Detroit Tigers with 60 hits and 24 RBI, while Dillon Dingler and Kevin McGonigle have combined for 92 hits and 46 RBI.
Framber Valdez gets the ball for the Detroit Tigers, and he is 2-3 with a 4.58 ERA and 45 strikeouts this season. Valdez is 1-2 with a 4.17 ERA and 38 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 22-29 on the year and play the Rays and Blue Jays next. The Baltimore Orioles are batting .236 on the season and have a .316 OBP, and a .392 slugging percentage. The Baltimore Orioles pitching staff has a 4.95 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP. Gunnar Henderson leads the Baltimore Orioles with 49 hits and 24 RBI while Taylor Ward and Pete Alonso have combined for 90 hits and 46 RBI.
Brandon Young gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 3-1 with a 4.25 ERA and 22 strikeouts this season. This will be Young’s second career game against the Detroit Tigers.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Tigers have lost each of their last seven games.
- The home team has won seven of the Orioles’ last eight games.
- The Orioles have covered the run line each of their last six games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games against AL East opponents.
- The Orioles have led after 3 innings in each of their last four home games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Orioles have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against American League opponents following a home win.
- The Tigers have won six of their last seven games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a road loss.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
- The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five day games against the Orioles.
- The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six day games against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have won the first inning in each of their last three road games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Orioles’ last six home games after playing the previous day has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Tigers’ last five road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has been hit in each of the last six day games between the Tigers and Orioles.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Tigers’ last 12 games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Pete Alonso has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last two games.
- Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last 10 games against the Tigers.
- Taylor Ward ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On-Base Percentage (.410) this season.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Framber Valdez has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as a road underdog.
- Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in three of his last four Saturday day appearances against teams that held a losing record.
- Framber Valdez has recorded a win in nine of his last 10 appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Javier Baez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 road appearances against AL East opponents.
- Riley Greene ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.419) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Orioles rank 29th in the league for runs allowed this season (278).
- The Orioles rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (474).
- The Tigers rank 28th in the league for steals this season (20).
- The Tigers rank 26th in the league for runs scored this season (200).
Orioles vs Tigers Prediction
The Tigers continue to pile up the losses and they’ve played their worst ball on the road, where they’ve lost 20 times. Valdez is capable of decent showings, but it doesn’t matter when the Tigers can’t get out of their own way. The Orioles have issues of their own but they’ve been able to run into a win here and there this week. The Orioles are also 5-1 this season with Young on the mound. I have to roll with the home team in this spot, even if it’s more of a fade of the Tigers more than anything.