The Atlanta Braves and the San Diego Padres meet on Saturday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Padres vs Braves Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Atlanta Braves will send out Spencer Schwellenbach for the start here. Schwellenbach was 8-7 with a 3.35 ERA and 127 strikeouts last season. This will be Schwellenbach’s second career start against the Padres. The San Diego Padres will send out Randy Vasquez for the start here, and Vasquez was 4-7 with a 4.87 ERA and 62 strikeouts last season. In his career, Vasquez is 0-3 with a 4.40 ERA and 10 strikeouts against the Braves.
Atlanta Braves Recap
The Atlanta Braves come into this game looking to bounce back after starting the year 0-2 with a 4-3 loss at the hands of the Padres in Friday’s matchup. After this series, the Braves will head on the road for a set at Dodger Stadium against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Braves Looking To Get Back On Track
Ozzie Albies leads the Braves with a home run and three RBIs, while Austin Riley and Jarred Kelenic have each chipped in solo home runs as well. Marcell Ozuna has a pair of hits with two RBIs, while Riley has also contributed a double, and Jurickson Profar’s added a pair of hits as well so far this season.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Braves have won four of their last five day games against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Padres have lost three of their last four day games against the Braves following a win.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games against the Braves following a win.
- The Braves have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games following a road loss.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Ozzie Albies has scored a run in each of the Braves’ last six games as favorites against NL opponents.
- Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one Single in each of the Braves’ last seven road games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 11 games against the Padres.
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Braves as road favorites against NL West opponents.
- Alex Verdugo has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances with his team as a favorite against NL opponents.
- Jarred Kelenic ranks T10th in the league in Home Runs (1) this season.
San Diego Padres Recap
The San Diego Padres come into this game looking to add on to their victory over the Braves from Friday’s matchup and will try to win the series on Saturday before Sunday’s series finale. After this series, the Padres will welcome the Cleveland Guardians to town.
Padres Looking For Series Victory After Friday’s Triumph
Jackson Merrill and Fernando Tatis Jr. each have a team-high 4 hits, with Merrill putting up a team-high 4 RBIs while Tatis Jr. has a solo home run and a pair of stolen bases. Manny Machado added a pair of doubles and an RBI, while Xander Bogaerts had a double and an RBI as well, and Machado also chipped in a pair of stolen bases. Jake Cronenworth and Gavin Sheets each have a home run as well up to this point in the year.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won each of their last seven games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Braves have lost each of their last six games against NL West opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Padres’ last five games at Petco Park.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven day games against NL West opponents.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Luis Arraez has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in day games.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Padres’ last four games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Jake Cronenworth has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Padres’ last four games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Jackson Merrill has scored at least one run in eight of the Padres’ last nine day games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 14 appearances in day games.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 24 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks T1st in the league in Steals (2) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Padres’ last eight games as home underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Braves’ last five games as favorites against the Padres have gone OVER the total runs line.
Padres vs Braves Prediction
I’m on the Braves here. I know the Padres have managed to get the better of the Braves in the first two games of this series. But I think there’s such a huge gap in the starting pitching department in favor of Atlanta in this game. I have to roll with the Braves here. Vasquez, for me, is a glorified bullpen arm, and Schwellenbach is a starting option that made huge strides ahead of schedule in his rookie year, in my opinion. Give me Atlanta in this one to get on the board and in the win column.