In this article we will formulate a Padres vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Monday, August 10th at Petco Park in San Diego, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 62-57 this season after they won two out of three against the Astros by scores of 3-6, 3-2, and 7-2. In game three, San Diego trailed 2-0 in the second inning, but they scored the last seven runs to get the win. The Padres recorded 12 hits in the game and they were led by Tatis Jr, who went 2-5 with one home run and three RBIs. Vasquez allowed two hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Hart picked up a hold. Prior to that series, San Diego split four games with the Diamondbacks and won three out of four against the Giants.
This season, San Diego has a 4.16 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while they have scored 504 runs with a .237 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Manny Machado has led the Padres with 23 home runs and 70 RBIs, while Gavin Sheets has added 15 home runs and 44 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Casey Mize, who is 4-7 with a 3.40 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 90.0 innings pitched this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 74-44 this year after they won two out of three against the Twins by scores of 6-8, 4-3, and 4-3. In game three, Milwaukee blew a 3-1 lead in the sixth inning, but they scored the only run in the 10th for the win. The Brewers recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Bauers, who went 2-3 with one home run and two RBIs. Misiorowski allowed four hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Hall picked up the win. Prior to that series, Milwaukee won three out of four against the Pirates and two out of three against the Angels.
This season, Milwaukee has a 3.47 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP and a .219 opponent batting average, while they have scored 585 runs with a .253 batting average and a .337 on base percentage. Jake Bauers has led the Brewers with 21 home runs and 67 RBIs, while Brice Turang has added 16 home runs and 74 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Logan Henderson, who is 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA and a 0.90 WHIP over 50.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The underdogs have won each of the Brewers’ last five games at Petco Park.
- The Brewers have lost six of their last seven games as road favorites after going to extra innings.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as road favorites against National League opponents following a win.
- The Padres have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 games as underdogs.
- The Brewers have lost the first inning in four of their last five road games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Padres have led after 5 innings in five of their last six home games.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against NL West opponents.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Padres have lost each of their last six night games against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Brewers have won six of their last seven games against the Padres after going to extra innings.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games at Petco Park following a win.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in each of their last four games.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against the Padres.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Brewers’ last 10 road games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Padres’ last three home games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last seven night games against National League opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Padres’ last nine night games against NL Central opponents.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Casey Mize has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four home appearances against NL opponents.
- Jackson Merrill has hit a home run in three of the Padres’ last four home games.
- Luis Rengifo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Casey Mize has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Logan Henderson has recorded a win in six of his last seven appearances.
- Logan Henderson has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances.
- Jackson Chourio has hit a home run in three of the Brewers’ last four games.
- Andrew Vaughn has recorded a hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Brewers as favorites against NL opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Padres rank 3rd in the league for steals this season (119).
- The Padres rank 25th in the league for hits this season (927).
- The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (109).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.219).
Padres vs Brewers Prediction
Milwaukee comes into this matchup as one of the best teams in the MLB and they have won four of their last five games. The Brewers are 33-22 on the road this year, while the Padres are 34-26 at home. San Diego has won three of their last four games and they have allowed two runs or fewer in all three of those wins. The Padres are starting Mize, who has had a solid season, but was not good in his first start with his new team, while Henderson has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight. I think Mize will be much better in this matchup and I like the Padres to win.