The Los Angeles Dodgers and the San Diego Padres meet Monday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Padres vs Dodgers Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Los Angeles Dodgers will send out Dustin May for the start here, and May is 3-4 with a 4.09 ERA and 63 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Padres, May is 1-1 with a 3.77 ERA and 27 strikeouts. Nick Pivetta will get the start for the Padres here and is 6-2 with a 3.16 ERA and 76 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Dodgers, Pivetta is 1-1 with a 1.78 ERA and 34 strikeouts.
Los Angeles Dodgers Recap
The Los Angeles Dodgers come into this game looking to build on their 7-3 win over the St. Louis Cardinals last time out to sit at 39-27 on the year. After this series, the Dodgers will head home for a series against the San Francisco Giants.
Dodgers Trying To Rebound From Series Loss
Shohei Ohtani has 75 hits, including 10 doubles, 23 home runs, 39 RBIs, and 4 triples, while Tommy Edman has 43 hits with 9 home runs and 32 RBIs. Michael Conforto has 31 hits with 9 doubles, while Teoscar Hernandez has 53 hits with 10 home runs, 15 doubles, and 43 RBIs as well this season. Ohtani has a team-high 11 stolen bases, while Max Muncy has 8 doubles but also has 57 strikeouts so far this season. Mookie Betts has also chipped in 9 home runs and 33 RBIs on the year. Freddie Freeman has also logged 70 hits with a team-high 20 doubles, 9 home runs, and 40 RBIs.
Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win
- The Dodgers have won each of their last eight Monday road games against NL West opponents.
- The Padres have lost each of their last three home games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last eight Monday road games against NL West opponents.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five home games following a win.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
- Freddie Freeman has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances with the Dodgers as road favorites against NL West opponents.
- Andy Pages has recorded an RBI in six of his last seven appearances with the Dodgers as road favorites.
- Shohei Ohtani has scored at least one run in each of the Dodgers’ last 11 Monday night games.
- Teoscar Hernandez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances after playing the previous day.
- Dustin May has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Teoscar Hernandez has recorded a Double in five of his last six road appearances against NL opponents.
- Esteury Ruiz has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
- Shohei Ohtani ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (23) this season.
San Diego Padres Recap
The San Diego Padres come into this game looking to build on their 1-0 win over the Brewers from Sunday’s series finale to improve to 37-27 on the year. After this series, the Padres will head on the road for a series against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Padres Alternate Wins & Losses In Four Straight
Manny Machado has 76 hits, including a team-high 17 doubles, 10 home runs, 33 RBIs, and 8 stolen bases, while Fernando Tatis Jr. has 63 hits with a team-high 13 home runs and 28 RBIs, along with 12 stolen bases of his own this season. Luis Arraez has added 64 hits with 13 doubles, 3 triples, 3 home runs, and 24 RBIs, while Jackson Merrill’s added 46 hits with 5 home runs and 23 RBIs as well. Xander Bogaerts also has 10 doubles and 12 stolen bases this season. Gavin Sheets also has 7 doubles, 11 home runs, and 38 RBIs this season.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won each of their last 12 Monday night games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
- The Dodgers have lost each of their last five games as road favorites against National League opponents following a road win.
- The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last 12 Monday night games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
- The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as road favorites against National League opponents following a win.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Manny Machado has hit a home run in three of the Padres’ last four games as underdogs.
- Nick Pivetta has recorded a win in each of his last five home appearances against NL opponents.
- Elias Diaz has scored at least one run in six of his last seven home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Manny Machado has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Padres’ last eight games as home underdogs.
- Nick Pivetta has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five home appearances.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one hit in 17 of his last 18 home appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Jake Cronenworth has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Padres as home underdogs.
- Luis Arraez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Padres’ last 10 home games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Manny Machado ranks T7th in the league in Hits (76) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Padres’ last six games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Dodgers’ last six night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Padres vs Dodgers Prediction
I’m riding with the under here. I get the case to be made for either side in this game, but this to me sets up as a lower-scoring game. Pivetta’s been solid overall and in a pitcher-friendly ballpark; I expect no different here. On the other side, I’m not sure how much I trust the Padres’ offense in their current form, and Dustin May has decent career numbers against the Padres. I’ll roll with the under here.