In this article, we will formulate a Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 15th at the Dodger Stadium in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Los Angeles Dodgers Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers have a 68-53 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the NL West. The Dodgers have a 38-24 home record and 60-57 in over/under. They are coming off a 5-6 road defeat by the Angels, and have four consecutive losses. Over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games, and are playing the Padres and the Rockies next.
The Dodgers have a .255 batting average this season, .332 OBP and .441 slugging percentage. LA’s pitching staff has a 4.17 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. Sohei Ohtani leads the Dodgers with 132 hits, in RBI, with 79 and in home runs, with 43. Freddie Freeman is the team’s best hitter with a .300 batting average.
Clayton Kershaw (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Dodgers, and he has a 6-2 record, 3.14 ERA and 1.26 WHIP.
San Diego Padres Preview
The San Diego Padres have a 69-52 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the NL West. They have a 31-32 road record, and are 51-67 in over/under. The Padres are coming off a 11-1 road victory over the Giants, and are 7-1 in their last 8 games. Over is 7-4 in their last 11 games and are playing the Dodgers and the Giants next.
The Padres have a .252 batting average this season, .323 OBP and .383 Slugging percentage. San Diego’s pitching staff has a 3.55 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. Manny Machado leads the Padres with 138 hits and team-high .296 batting average. He also leads the team in RBI, with 72, adding a team-high 20 home runs.
The Padres have noy yet announced a starting pitcher for this game.
Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win
- The Dodgers have won each of their last 11 games as favorites against NL West opponents following a road loss.
- The Padres have lost each of their last six night games against the Dodgers at Dodger Stadium following a road win.
- The Dodgers have covered the run line in six of their last seven games against NL West opponents following a road loss.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against the Dodgers following a win.
- The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five home games.
- The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in three of their last four home games against National League opponents.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won each of their last five games as underdogs.
- The Dodgers have lost each of their last four games as favorites.
- The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs against National League opponents following a win.
- The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line each of their last five home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Padres have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven night games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Padres have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Twelve of the Padres’ last 13 night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Dodgers’ last four games as favorites against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Dodgers’ last eight home games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last six Friday games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (626).
- The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for RBIs this season (605).
- The Padres rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (900).
- The Padres rank 29th in the league for home runs this season (103).
Padres vs Dodgers Prediction
The Dodgers are 7-2 in their last 9 meetings against the Padres, and are 5-2 this season. They are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.
In this Padres vs Dodgers Prediction, the Dodgers are coming as -190 home favorites. Both teams are coming into this matchup in opposite trajectories, as the Padres are red-hot and dropped the Dodgers out of the first place of the NL West. The Dodgers are coming off an embarrassing series sweep by the Angels and are sending Kershaw on the mound, who has been lights out lately, with one earned run or less in three of his last four starts. The Padres are also much weaker against left-handed pitching, so I like the Dodgers in a bounce-back and must-win spot tonight at home.