The Miami Marlins and San Diego Padres meet Friday in MLB action at Petco Park. Here’s a Padres vs. Marlins Prediction. This article will include a Padres vs Marlins Pick.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 76-77 on the year and play the Cubs and Braves next. The Miami Marlins are batting .249 on the season, have a .327 OBP, and have a .401 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins’ pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Otto Lopez leads the Miami Marlins with 182 hits and 69 RBI, while Xavier Edwards and Javier Sanoja have combined for 268 hits and 115 RBI.
Tyler Phillips gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 5-6 with a 3.55 ERA and 96 strikeouts this season. Phillips is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 1 strikeout in his career against the San Diego Padres.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 84-69 this year and play the Dodgers and Diamondbacks next. The San Diego Padres are batting .242 on the season, have a .318 OBP, and have a .397 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres’ pitching staff has a 3.94 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the San Diego Padres with 170 hits and 78 RBI, while Jackson Merrill and Manny Machado have combined for 271 hits and 169 RBI.
Nick Pivetta gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 2-2 with a 3.60 ERA and 31 strikeouts this season. Pivetta is 2-5 with a 4.62 ERA and 75 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won each of their last six home games against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have lost each of their last six games against the Padres following a road win.
- The Padres have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 12 night games against NL opponents.
- The Padres have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games.
- The Padres have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight games.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won each of their last seven games as underdogs against NL West opponents following a road win.
- The Padres have lost three of their last four games as home favorites following a road win.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last 12 road games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against NL East opponents following a road win.
- The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven games as road underdogs against NL West opponents.
- The Marlins have won the first inning in four of their last five games as underdogs against the Padres.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Padres’ last nine games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Sixteen of the Marlins’ last 21 road games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Padres’ last seven games.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Marlins’ last nine Friday games against NL opponents.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Nick Pivetta has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against the Marlins.
- Jackson Merrill has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres’ last eight games.
- Nick Pivetta has recorded a win in each of his five previous appearances with the Padres as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Freddy Fermin has hit a home run in two of his last three home appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks 4th in the league in Hits (170) this season.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Jakob Marsee has hit a home run in two of the Marlins’ last three games.
- Tyler Phillips has recorded four or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in night games.
- Javier Sanoja has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 14 night games.
- Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (182) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Padres rank 4th in the league for steals this season (152).
- The Padres rank T23rd in the league for doubles this season (223).
- The Marlins rank 3rd in the league for triples this season (35).
- The Marlins rank 3rd in the league for steals this season (154).
Padres vs Marlins Prediction
The Marlins have run out of gas over a month ago and just don’t pack the betting value they did most of the season. The Padres are the hottest team in the sport, and they’re closing in rapidly on a playoff spot. Pivetta has just 25 innings under his belt this season, but he’s been solid with a 3.60 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. I’m just not stepping in front of the Padres, especially for a team like the Marlins that’s lost their way. Give me the Padres and the RL for max betting value.