In this article we will formulate a Padres vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Monday, June 8th at Petco Park in San Diego, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 33-31 this year after they lost two out of three against the Mets by scores of 0-5, 3-2, and 3-7. In game three, San Diego cut the deficit to 4-2 in the fifth inning, but they couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Padres recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Fermin, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Vasquez allowed eight hits and four earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Matsui allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to that series, San Diego lost all three against the Phillies and two out of three against the Nationals.
This season, San Diego has a 3.97 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while they have scored 241 runs with a .214 batting average and a .289 on base percentage. Manny Machado has led the Padres with 11 home runs and 32 RBIs, while Gavin Sheets has added 10 home runs and 25 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Walker Buehler, who is 3-3 with a 4.53 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 57.2 innings pitched this year.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 31-33 this season after they lost all three against the Cardinals by scores of 3-10, 5-6, and 3-5. In game three, Cincinnati tied the game at three in the seventh inning, but they allowed two runs in the eighth for the loss. The Reds recorded 10 hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by McLain, who went 2-4 with two home runs and two RBIs. Lowder allowed one hit and zero earned runs over 3.0 innings, while Paddack allowed three earned runs in relief and Moll picked up the loss. Prior to that series, Cincinnati lost two out of three against the Royals and two out of three against the Braves.
This season, Cincinnati has a 4.81 ERA with a 1.47 WHIP and a .250 opponent batting average, while they have scored 275 runs with a .230 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Elly De La Cruz has led the Reds with 12 home runs and 37 RBIs, while Sal Stewart has added 12 home runs and 39 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Andrew Abbott, who is 4-3 with a 4.06 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP over 68.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Reds have lost 13 of their last 14 road games against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Padres have won each of their last eight Monday games against NL Central opponents.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games against National League opponents.
- The Padres have covered the run line in four of their last five night games against National League opponents.
- The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against National League opponents.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Padres have lost each of their last five games as favorites.
- The Reds have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Padres following a road loss.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last six games between the Reds and Padres.
- The Reds have won the first inning in three of their last four games at Petco Park.
- The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six Monday night games as favorites.
- The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games against NL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Padres’ last six night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Reds’ last six night games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Padres’ last eight games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Reds’ last six games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres’ last nine home games against NL opponents.
- Luis Campusano has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Padres as favorites against NL opponents.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks T8th in the league in Steals (15) this season.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- JJ Bleday has hit at least one home run in four of his last five Monday appearances.
- Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven road appearances.
- Sal Stewart is one of only nine players to record 10+ Home Runs and 10+ Stolen Bases this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Padres rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (241).
- The Padres rank 30th in the league for hits this season (443).
- The Reds rank T28th in the league for hits this season (496).
- The Reds rank 28th in the league for walks allowed this season (298).
Padres vs Reds Prediction
Cincinnati comes into this matchup on a four game losing streak and they have allowed 26 runs during that span. The Reds are 15-17 on the road this year, while the Padres are 17-18 at home. San Diego has lost five of their last six games and they have scored three runs or fewer in four of their last five. The Padres are starting Buehler, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, while Abbott has allowed 3, 3, 1, 1, and 0 earned runs in his last five outings. I don’t really trust either starter in this contest, but Buehler has been better recently. Take the Padres at home.