In this article, we will formulate a Padres vs Twins Prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 31st at the Target Field in the third game of this series, with both teams being tied 1-1 wins. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Minnesota Twins Preview
The Minnesota Twins have a 61-74 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the AL Central. The Twins have a 34-32 home record and are 62-64 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-12 home defeat by the Padres, and are 2-5 in their last 7 games. Over is 8-1 in their last 9 games and are playing the White Sox and the Royals next.
The Twins have a .238 batting average this season, .311 OBP and .397 Slugging percentage. Minnesota’s pitching staff has a 4.48 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. Trevor Larnach leads the Twins with 107 hits, while Byron Buxton adds team-highs both in RBI, with 68, and in home runs, with 28. He is also the team’s best hitter with a .270 batting average.
Joe Ryan (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins, and he has a 12-7 record, 3.22 ERA and 0.97 WHIP.
San Diego Padres Preview
The San Diego Padres have a 76-60 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the NL West. They have a 33-38 road record, and are 58-74 in over/under. The Padres are coming off a 12-3 road victory over the Twins, which ended their two-game losing streak. Over is 5-1 in their last 6 games and are playing the Orioles and the Rockies next.
The Padres have a .252 batting average this season, .323 OBP and .387 Slugging percentage. San Diego’s pitching staff has a 3.61 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. Manny Machado leads the Padres with 151 hits and is the team’s best hitter with a .287 batting average. He also leads the team in RBI, with 79, and in home runs, with 21.
Reliever David Morgan (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres, and he has a 1-2 record, 2.95 ERA and 1.18 WHIP.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Twins have won each of their last seven day games against NL West opponents following a loss.
- The Padres have lost seven of their last eight games against American League opponents following a road win.
- The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last seven day games against NL West opponents following a loss.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 15 day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four day games.
- The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight road games.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Twins have lost each of their last six games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Padres have won seven of their last eight day games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last nine Sunday games as road underdogs.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as home favorites following a loss.
- The Padres have led after 5 innings in seven of their last nine day games.
- The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six games as favorites.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Padres’ last six day games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Twins’ last nine games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last six home games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last six day games against American League opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Twins rank 3rd in the league for walks allowed this season (378).
- The Twins rank 26th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.258).
- The Padres rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.224).
- The Padres rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (995).
Padres vs Twins Prediction
The Twins are 4-3 in their last 7 head-to-head meetings against the Padres, and are 4-2 in their last 6 meetings in Minnesota. Over is 5-0 in their last 5 meetings.
In this Padres vs Twins Prediction, the Twins are coming as -130 home favorites. The Padres are going for a bullpen game today, but they have the best bullpen ERA in the league, so it’s hard to fade them. Joe Ryan will take the mound for the Twins and he has been their best pitcher, but he has been weaker at home, and he is coming off two terrible starts with 11 earned runs in 9 innings pitched. I like the value here with the better team as an underdog, so take a stab with the San Diego Padres at plus money in this one.