In this article we will formulate a Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, August 29th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 78-55 this year and they have won four of their last five games. Philadelphia is coming off of a series win against Houston, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Phillies won two out of three against the Royals, lost two out of three against the Braves, and won three out of four against the Nationals. Philadelphia is 5-5 in their last 10 games and they are first in the NL East.
The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.70 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 646 runs with a .258 batting average and a .327 on base percentage. Bryce Harper is batting .277 with 26 home runs and 76 RBI’s for the Phillies this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 73-60 this season and they have won six of their last seven games. Atlanta is coming off of a series win against Minnesota, where they won all three games by scores of 5-1, 8-6, and 10-6. Prior to that series, the Braves won two out of three against the Nationals, won two out of three against the Phillies, and won two out of three against the Angels. Atlanta is 9-2 in their last 11 games and they are second in the NL East.
The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.63 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 576 runs with a .242 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .309 with 37 home runs and 98 RBI’s for the Braves this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Cristopher Sanchez, who is 9-9 with a 3.51 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 146.1 innings pitched this year. Sanchez has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Charlie Morton, who is 7-7 with a 4.24 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 131.2 innings pitched this season. Morton has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts.
Why the Braves will beat the Phillies
- The Braves have won each of their last seven road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have lost five of their last six games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last six night games following a road win.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven home games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last five road games.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last five road games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Braves’ last 10 games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Phillies’ last five night games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last five road games against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last four night games at Citizens Bank Park.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 11 appearances against NL East opponents at Citizens Bank Park.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances against NL East opponents at Citizens Bank Park.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded a Double in four of the Phillies’ last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Trea Turner has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Trea Turner has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine home appearances against NL opponents.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored at least one run in nine of the Braves’ last 10 games at Citizens Bank Park.
- Charlie Morton has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances.
- Ozzie Albies has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances against the Phillies.
- Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one Single in each of the Braves’ last seven road games.
- Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one total base in each of the Braves’ last 10 games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 10 night games.
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one Double in each of the Braves’ last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Adam Duvall has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six road appearances against the Phillies.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
These two teams come into this series as the top two teams in the NL East, but Philadelphia does have a healthy lead in the division. The Phillies are 44-24 at home this year, while the Braves are 37-32 on the road. Atlanta has been on fire over the last two weeks and they are going with Charlie Morton, who has made three very good starts in a row.
Philadelphia hasn’t played poorly, but they haven’t been as dominant as they were in the early part of the season. The Phillies are starting Cristopher Sanchez, who has been pretty inconsistent recently. I like what I am seeing from the Braves right now and I am going to back them in this spot. Take Atlanta to get the win.