The Atlanta Braves and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Friday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves prediction. This will be the second installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Phillies vs Braves pick.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
In their last series, the Braves played the Minnesota Twins. Atlanta won the first two installments of that set 10-6 and 8-6 before a 5-1 victory Wednesday to finish off the sweep. On Thursday in the opener versus the Phillies, the Braves took a tough 5-4 loss. Starter Charlie Morton finished with 5.2 innings and three earned runs.
In the starter role for the Braves on Friday it’ll be Reynaldo Lopez. this year Lopez is 7-4 with a 2.02 ERA in 21 starts. Lopez is 46-53 with a 3.98 ERA in 262 games (118 starts).
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
Over on the Phillies’ side, they took on the Houston Astros in their last set. Philadelphia won 3-2 and 5-0 in the first two then took a 10-0 blowout loss in the finale. In Thursday’s opener, the Phillies came back from an early 4-0 deficit to take the win. Christopher Sanchez put up two earned in 5.2 frames as a starter.
As starting pitcher for Philly on Friday they’re going with Ranger Suarez. So far Suarez is 11-5 with a 2.82 ERA in 21 starts. Suarez is 40-26 with a 3.28 ERA in 155 career games (87 starts). The Phillies will meet the Blue Jays and Marlins after this series.
Total Runs Facts
- Ten of the Braves’ last 11 games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the last four games between the Braves and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park has gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last eight games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last six games as favorites.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Trea Turner has scored a run in each of his last six home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Phillies’ last seven games as home favorites.
- Ranger Suarez has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances with the Phillies as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 10 games as home favorites.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 appearances against NL East opponents at Citizens Bank Park.
- Ranger Suarez has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Brandon Marsh has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four games as home favorites.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 12 appearances against NL East opponents at Citizens Bank Park.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 14 games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one total base in each of the Braves’ last 14 games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- Ozzie Albies has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances against the Phillies.
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one Double in four of the Braves’ last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one Single in each of the Braves’ last eight road games.
- Matt Olson has scored at least one run in each of the Braves’ last six games.
- Adam Duvall has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six road appearances against the Phillies.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
I’ll lean toward the Braves. Lopez has a couple of good outings under his belt since returning. In that pair he’s posted two earned in 11.0 innings without a decision. As for Suarez, he’s coming off one earned in 5.0 innings during a win over KC but did have seven earned in 11.0 innings in a pair of losses prior to that.
On Thursday Atlanta was doing great until the bottom of the sixth inning. The Braves couldn’t score after that and dropped what should have been an easy win. Matt Olson did most of the offensive work, so the bats weren’t all that great overall. Atlanta needs a better effort on both sides Friday.