The Atlanta Braves and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Saturday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves prediction. This will be the third installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Phillies vs Braves pick.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Braves played the Minnesota Twins in their last series. Atlanta took wins in all three of those matchups, then fell to the Phillies 5-4 Thursday. On Friday the Braves powered out the win 7-2. Starter Reynaldo Lopez finished with 6.0 innings and one earned run.
In the starter slot for Saturday, the Braves will send out Max Fried. This year Fried is 8-7 with a 3.50 ERA in 23 starts. In his career, Fried is 70-33 with a 3.10 ERA in 162 games (145 starts).
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
Over on the Phillies’ side, their last series was against the Houston Astros. Philadelphia won the first two games before a 10-0 blowout loss Wednesday. On Friday Philly was out-hit 9-7 in the defeat. Ranger Suarez logged 4.0 innings in the start with four earned runs.
Zack Wheeler will start for the Phillies on Saturday. So far Wheeler is 12-6 with a 2.74 ERA in 26 starts. Wheeler is 99-69 with a 3.37 ERA in 253 starts over his career.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last five games between the Braves and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park has gone OVER the total runs line.
- Ten of the Braves’ last 12 games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last nine games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last seven games as favorites.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Zack Wheeler has recorded seven or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Phillies’ last eight games as home favorites.
- Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of his last seven Saturday night appearances at Citizens Bank Park.
- Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in six of his last seven appearances with the Phillies as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- Brandon Marsh has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last five games as home favorites.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one Single in 12 of his last 13 appearances against NL East opponents at Citizens Bank Park.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances against NL East opponents at Citizens Bank Park.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 15 games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- Max Fried has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances against NL East opponents.
- Ozzie Albies has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances against the Phillies.
- Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one Single in each of the Braves’ last nine road games.
- Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one total base in each of the Braves’ last 15 games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- Matt Olson has scored at least one run in each of the Braves’ last seven games.
- Max Fried has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 13 road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Braves’ last seven games.
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one Double in five of the Braves’ last six games against opponents that held a winning record.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
I’ll lean toward the Braves. Should be a good starter matchup, though. Fried is 1-1 in his last three starts with a combined six earned runs on 17.1 innings of work. As for Wheeler, he’s done pretty well also with five earned over 18.0 innings in his last three starts, going 1-1 in that time.
On Friday the Braves were up 7-1 at one point and pretty much dominated the game with a couple of big offensive performances. The pitching was solid as well; it was a well-rounded effort. I like Atlanta to keep rolling in game three.