The Atlanta Braves and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Sunday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves prediction. This will be the final installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Phillies vs Braves pick.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
In their early-week series the Braves took on the Minnesota Twins. Atlanta won all three of those games in a sweep. After splitting the first two games in the weekend series versus the Phillies, on Saturday the Braves took a 3-0 shutout loss. Starter Max Fried lasted 7.0 innings with three earned runs.
Starter for the Braves on Sunday will be Spencer Schwellenbach. So far Schwellenbach is 5-6 with a 3.72 ERA in the first 15 starts of his career.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
Over on the Phillies’ side, they played the Houston Astros in their last set. Philadelphia won the first pair before a 10-0 blowout loss in the finale. On Saturday the Phillies managed only five hits in the win. Starting pitcher Zack Wheeler managed 7.0 clean frames with four hits and seven Ks.
It’ll be Aaron Nola in the start Sunday for the Phillies. This year Nola is 12-6 with a 3.30 ERA in 27 starts. Nola is 102-77 with a 3.68 ERA in 262 career starts.
Total Runs Facts
- Eleven of the Braves’ last 13 games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the last six games between the Braves and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last 10 games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last eight games as favorites.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Aaron Nola has recorded six or more strikeouts in 13 of his last 15 home appearances against the Braves.
- Alec Bohm has recorded at least one Single in 11 of his last 12 appearances with the Phillies as home favorites against the Braves.
- Brandon Marsh has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances with the Phillies as home favorites.
- Brandon Marsh has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances with the Phillies as home favorites.
- Brandon Marsh has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven appearances with the Phillies as home favorites.
- Aaron Nola has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Phillies’ last nine games as home favorites.
- Trea Turner has scored a run in seven of his last eight home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Ozzie Albies has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances against the Phillies.
- Gio Urshela has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances.
- Gio Urshela has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances.
- Adam Duvall has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six road appearances against the Phillies.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded a Double in each of his last three road appearances against NL opponents.
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 appearances at Citizens Bank Park.
- Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one Single in nine of the Braves’ last 10 road games.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
I’ll stay with the Phillies. Nola is pitching well over his last trio. In those three he’s 1-0 with just two earned runs in 19.0 combined innings. As for Schwellenbach, he’s 1-1 in his last three with five earned combined over 16.1 innings of work.
On Saturday the Phillies didn’t get much going on offense, but it was enough to secure the shutout win. A couple of homers did the scoring work, while Wheeler and the gang held it down on the mound. I like the Phillies to keep it going Sunday.