The Baltimore Orioles and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Tuesday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phillies vs Orioles Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Baltimore Orioles will send out Dean Kremer for the start here, and Kremer is 8-7 with a 4.27 ERA and 104 strikeouts this season. This will be Kremer’s second career start against the Phillies. Taijuan Walker will start this one for the Phillies and is 3-5 with a 3.82 ERA and 56 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Orioles, Walker is 2-1 with a 2.22 ERA and 25 strikeouts.
Baltimore Orioles Recap
The Baltimore Orioles come into this game looking to rebound from a 13-3 loss at the hands of the Phillies on Monday to sit at 51-62 on the year. After this series, the Orioles will head home for a series against the Athletics.
Orioles Drop 4 Of Their Last 5 Games
Adley Rutschman has 62 hits with 15 doubles, 8 homers, and 25 RBIs. Jackson Holliday has 107 hits with 15 doubles, 2 triples, 14 homers, and 43 RBIs. Ryan Mountcastle has 46 hits with 13 doubles, 2 homers, and 15 RBIs, and Gunnar Henderson has 98 strikeouts, while Holliday has a team-high 104 strikeouts as well this season. Heston Kjerstad added 4 homers and 19 RBIs while Jordan Westburg has 12 home runs and 27 RBIs this season.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Orioles have won four of their last five games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a loss.
- The Phillies have lost three of their last four games as favorites following a win.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last nine Tuesday night games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games against American League opponents following a win.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Tyler O’Neill has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with the Orioles against NL opponents.
- Dean Kremer has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Tyler O’Neill has recorded at least one hit in 13 of his last 14 appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL East opponents.
- Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one Double in each of the Orioles’ last six games as underdogs.
- Dean Kremer has recorded a win in seven of his last eight Tuesday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
Philadelphia Phillies Recap
The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to build on their series-opening win over the Orioles to sit at 64-48 this season. After this series, the Phillies will head on the road for a series against the Texas Rangers.
Phillies String Together Back-To-Back Wins
Nick Castellanos has 112 hits with 23 doubles, including 15 home runs and 60 RBIs, while Kyle Schwarber has 104 hits with a team-high 38 home runs and 88 RBIs, but also has a team-high 131 strikeouts as well on the year. Bryce Harper has 10 stolen bases, 25 doubles, 16 home runs, and 47 RBIs. Trea Turner also has 128 hits with a team-high 25 stolen bases. Max Kepler has 14 doubles, and Bryson Stott has 12 doubles, 2 triples, 7 homers, and 43 RBIs, while Stott also has 17 stolen bases this season.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won each of their last nine games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Orioles have lost each of their last six Tuesday games against National League opponents.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last eight Tuesday games against American League opponents.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three games against NL East opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in five of his last six appearances at Citizens Bank Park against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Taijuan Walker has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his 10 previous appearances with his team as a home favorite against AL East opponents.
- Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a losing record.
- Alec Bohm has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances against the Orioles.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (40) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Four of the Orioles’ last five night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Phillies’ last five games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Phillies vs Orioles Prediction
I’m on the over in this one. I thought that Monday’s game was going to be lower-scoring before it turned into a blowout, but I think that Tuesday’s matchup lives up to that high-scoring nature once again. Kremer’s issues this season, for the most part, have played out on the road, and Taijuan Walker has allowed 7 home runs in his last three starts overall. These are two teams that have the ability to pour on the runs, so give me the over here.