The Detroit Tigers and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Friday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phillies vs Tigers Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Detroit Tigers will send out Jack Flaherty for the start here, and Flaherty is 6-10 with a 4.51 ERA and 137 strikeouts this season. In his career, Flaherty is 1-1 with a 2.84 ERA and 15 strikeouts against Philadelphia. The Philadelphia Phillies will start Ranger Suarez here, and Suarez is 8-4 with a 2.59 ERA and 90 strikeouts this season. This will be Suarez’s second career start against the Tigers.
Detroit Tigers Recap
The Detroit Tigers come into this game looking to build on their 7-2 win over Arizona last time out to sit at 64-46 on the year. After this series, the Tigers will head home for a series against the Minnesota Twins.
Tigers Win Four In A Row
Spencer Torkelson has 90 hits along with a .239 batting average, including 23 home runs, 23 doubles, and 63 RBIs. Kerry Carpenter also has 17 home runs and 35 RBIs, while Riley Greene has 115 hits with 23 doubles, 26 home runs, and 84 RBIs, but also has a team-high 144 strikeouts this season. Dillon Dingler has 9 home runs and 42 RBIs, and Zack McKinstry’s added 16 doubles, 8 triples, 9 home runs, and 37 RBIs of his own, along with 87 hits as well this season. Javier Baez has added 79 hits and 14 doubles as well as 10 home runs and 41 RBIs this season.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Phillies have lost three of their last four games as favorites.
- The Tigers have won each of their last four games.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five home games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Jack Flaherty has recorded seven or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Parker Meadows has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Jake Rogers has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Tigers against NL opponents.
- Andy Ibanez has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances in night games.
- Riley Greene ranks T8th in the league in Home Runs (26) this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Recap
The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to rebound from their 9-3 loss at the hands of the Chicago White Sox last time out to sit at 61-47 on the year. After this series, the Phillies will take on the Orioles at home.
Phillies Looking To Draw First Blood
Nick Castellanos has 108 hits with 23 doubles, including 14 home runs and 58 RBIs, while Kyle Schwarber has 101 hits with a team-high 37 home runs and 86 RBIs, but also has a team-high 126 strikeouts as well on the year. Bryce Harper has 10 stolen bases, 24 doubles, 15 home runs, and 45 RBIs. Trea Turner also has 127 hits with a team-high 25 stolen bases. Max Kepler has 14 doubles, and Bryson Stott has 12 doubles, 2 triples, 7 homers, and 41 RBIs, while Stott also has 16 stolen bases this season.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won each of their last seven games at Citizens Bank Park following a loss.
- The Tigers have lost eight of their last nine night games against NL East opponents.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line each of their last six night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The home team has covered the run line in each of the Tigers’ last four games.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in five of the Phillies’ last six night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Ranger Suarez has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Brandon Marsh has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Brandon Marsh has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Ranger Suarez has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Trea Turner ranks T3rd in the league in Hits (127) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Tigers’ last four night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Phillies’ last five games as favorites against the Tigers have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Phillies vs Tigers Prediction
I’m on the Phillies here. I get the case to be made for the Tigers catching some plus money, but the thing is that Jack Flaherty has struggled, and the Tigers have won just 33% of Flaherty’s 21 starts so far this season. The Phillies have Ranger Suarez going here, and I’m not 100% sold on the Tigers against a lefty, and I don’t love this Tiger bullpen either. Give me the Phillies in this one.