The Detroit Tigers and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Sunday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phillies vs Tigers Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Detroit Tigers will start Charlie Morton here, and Morton is 7-8 with a 5.42 ERA and 101 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Phillies, Morton is 0-1 with a 4.76 ERA and 37 strikeouts. Cristopher Sanchez will get the start for the Phillies and is 9-3 with a 2.55 ERA and 139 strikeouts this season. This will be Sanchez’s first career start against the Tigers
Detroit Tigers Recap
The Detroit Tigers come into this game looking to build on their 7-5 win over the Phillies on Saturday to sit at 65-47 on the year. After this series, the Tigers will head home for a series against the Minnesota Twins.
Tigers Win 5 Of Their Last 6
Spencer Torkelson has 90 hits along with a .239 batting average, including 23 home runs, 23 doubles, and 63 RBIs. Kerry Carpenter also has 17 home runs and 35 RBIs, while Riley Greene has 115 hits with 23 doubles, 26 home runs and 84 RBIs, but also has a team-high 144 strikeouts this season. Dillon Dingler has 9 home runs and 42 RBIs, and Zack McKinstry’s added 16 doubles, 8 triples, 9 home runs, and 37 RBIs of his own, along with 87 hits as well this season. Javier Baez has added 79 hits and 14 doubles as well as 10 home runs and 41 RBIs this season.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Tigers have won seven of their last eight Sunday games as underdogs.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last six games.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven home games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Charlie Morton has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL opponents.
- Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in each of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
- Charlie Morton has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances.
- Andy Ibanez has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in night games.
- Parker Meadows has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
Philadelphia Phillies Recap
The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to rebound from a loss at the hands of the Tigers on Saturday to sit at 62-48 this season. After this series, the Phillies will head home for a series against the Baltimore Orioles.
Phillies Alternate Wins & Losses In 5 Straight Games
Nick Castellanos has 108 hits with 23 doubles, including 14 home runs and 58 RBIs, while Kyle Schwarber has 101 hits with a team-high 37 home runs and 86 RBIs, but also has a team-high 126 strikeouts as well on the year. Bryce Harper has 10 stolen bases, 24 doubles, 15 home runs, and 45 RBIs. Trea Turner also has 127 hits with a team-high 25 stolen bases. Max Kepler has 14 doubles, and Bryson Stott has 12 doubles, 2 triples, 7 homers, and 41 RBIs, while Stott also has 16 stolen bases this season.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won each of their last eight games at Citizens Bank Park following a loss.
- The Tigers have lost each of their last six games against the Phillies following a win.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games following a home loss.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven road games following a road win.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Marsh has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in three of the Phillies’ last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Tigers’ last five games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Phillies’ last three games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Phillies vs Tigers Prediction
I’m leaning towards the Phillies here. I get the case to be made for the Tigers, who have been starting to pick up steam again, but I’m not a Charlie Morton fan at all. Furthermore, I think there were better options that could’ve been added at the trade deadline to give this rotation some depth. The Phillies have been solid against righties, while Cristopher Sanchez is an underrated lefty in this rotation, and the Tigers haven’t been as strong against southpaws. I’ll take the Phillies in this one.