In this article we will formulate a Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, June 27th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.
Phillies Continue to Roll
The Philadelphia Phillies are 53-27 this season and they have won four of their last five games. Philadelphia is coming off of a series win against Detroit, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Phillies won two out of three against the Diamondbacks, won two out of three against the Padres, and lost two out of three against the Orioles. Philadelphia is 6-3 in their last nine games and they are leading the NL East.
The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.07 ERA, a 1.13 WHIP, and a .224 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 405 runs with a .259 batting average and a .333 on base percentage. Bryce Harper is batting .305 with 20 home runs and 57 RBI’s for the Phillies this season. Philadelphia has allowed two runs or fewer in four of their last five games.
Marlins Trying to Keep Momentum
The Miami Marlins are 28-52 this year and they have won five of their last eight games. Miami is coming off of a series loss against Kansas City, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Marlins won two out of three against the Mariners, won two out of three against the Cardinals, and lost all three against the Nationals. Miami is dead last in the NL East standings, 25 games behind the Phillies.
The Miami pitching staff has a 4.58 ERA, a 1.35 WHIP, and a .253 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 277 runs with a .230 batting average and a .280 on base percentage. Josh Bell is batting .243 with eight home runs and 33 RBI’s for the Marlins this season. Miami has scored three runs or fewer in five of their last six games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Zack Wheeler, who is 9-4 with a 2.73 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP over 99.0 innings pitched this year. Wheeler has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Trevor Rogers, who is 1-8 with a 4.90 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP over 75.1 innings pitched this season. Rogers has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight outings.
Why the Phillies will beat the Marlins
- The Marlins have lost each of their last 11 night games against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Phillies have won 10 of their last 11 games at Citizens Bank Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in 12 of their last 14 night games against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games at Citizens Bank Park against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last 12 road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last five road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Phillies’ last seven night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last five night games at Citizens Bank Park.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last three night games at Citizens Bank Park.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Bryce Harper has recorded at least one Double in six of the Phillies’ last seven night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 home appearances.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 11 home appearances.
- Zack Wheeler has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances against the Marlins.
- Bryce Harper has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last two night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Bryce Harper has scored at least one run in eight of the Phillies’ last nine games at Citizens Bank Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in each of his last six home appearances.
- Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against the Marlins.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 16 appearances at Citizens Bank Park.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Bryan De La Cruz has scored a run in each of the Marlins’ last three games against NL opponents.
- Josh Bell has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances at Citizens Bank Park.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Marlins’ last three games against NL opponents.
- Tim Anderson has recorded a Double in three of his four previous appearances with his team as a road underdog against the Phillies.
- Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances at Citizens Bank Park.
- Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances against NL opponents.
- Trevor Rogers has recorded eight or more strikeouts in three of his four previous appearances at Citizens Bank Park.
- Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in each of the Marlins’ last two games against NL opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction
Philadelphia comes into this series as one of the best teams in the MLB and they are 31-12 at home, while Miami is just 12-25 on the road. The Marlins have been pretty bad with their hitting and pitching this season, as they rank towards the bottom of the MLB in runs scored and team ERA. Miami is starting Trevor Rogers, who has some ugly numbers on the season, but has actually been decent recently. Philadelphia is going with Zack Wheeler, who has been very good for most of the season. The Phillies are great at home this year and they have a big advantage on the mound. My Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins prediction is for the Phillies to win by at least two runs.