In this article we will formulate a Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, June 29th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.
Phillies Continue Their Dominant Pitching
The Philadelphia Phillies are 54-28 this year and they have won five of their last seven games. Philadelphia dropped game one in this series on Thursday, but they won game two by a score of 2-0. Prior to this series, the Phillies won two out of three against the Tigers, won two out of three against the Diamondbacks, and won two out of three against the Padres. Philadelphia is currently leading the NL East by eight games over the Braves.
The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.04 ERA, a 1.12 WHIP, and a .224 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 411 runs with a .259 batting average and a .332 on base percentage. Alec Bohm is batting .300 with nine home runs and 65 RBI’s for the Phillies this season. Philadelphia has allowed two runs or fewer in five of their last seven games.
Marlins are Showing Improvement
The Miami Marlins are 29-53 this season and they have alternated wins and losses over their last eight games. Miami won game one of this series by a score of 7-4 on Thursday, but they were shutout in game two. Prior to this series, the Marlins lost two out of three against the Royals, won two out of three against the Mariners, and won two out of three against the Cardinals. Miami is 6-4 in their last ten games, but they are last in the NL East.
The Miami pitching staff 4.54 ERA, a 1.35 WHIP, and a .253 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 284 runs with a .230 batting average and a .280 on base percentage. Bryan De La Cruz is batting .242 with 14 home runs and 39 RBI’s for the Marlins this season. Miami has scored two runs or fewer in five of their last seven games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Aaron Nola, who is 9-3 with a 3.39 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 101.0 innings pitched this year. Nola has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Roddery Munoz, who is 1-3 with a 5.80 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 35.2 innings pitched this season. Munoz has allowed at least four earned runs in four of his last five starts.
Why the Phillies will beat the Marlins
- The Phillies have won each of their last 10 Saturday games against National League opponents.
- The Marlins have lost 11 of their last 12 games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
- The Phillies have covered the run line each of their last seven Saturday day games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last 14 road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have lost the first inning in each of their last five day games against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Phillies’ last nine day games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Marlins’ last seven road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last five day games against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last six Saturday games.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Aaron Nola has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances with the Phillies as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one Double in each of the Phillies’ last four home games against the Marlins.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 18 appearances at Citizens Bank Park.
- Aaron Nola has recorded six or more strikeouts in 12 of his last 13 appearances against the Marlins.
- Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of his last seven Saturday day appearances with the Phillies as favorites.
- Bryce Harper has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against NL East opponents.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 home appearances.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances at Citizens Bank Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Bryce Harper has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last four Saturday games as favorites.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last seven day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances against NL opponents.
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit a home run in four of his last seven appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one RBI in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
- Josh Bell has recorded a Double in three of the Marlins’ last four road games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one total base in each of the Marlins’ last seven day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Josh Bell has scored at least one run in five of the Marlins’ last six day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction
Philadelphia was able to bounce back after their game one loss with a nice win in game two, and they come into this matchup as a big favorite to win again. The Phillies are 32-13 at home, while the Marlins are just 13-26 on the road. Philadelphia has been one of the best teams in baseball this season and they are starting Aaron Nola, who has been mostly solid for them this year. Miami has dealt with quite a few injuries to their rotation, so they are starting Munoz, who has been very bad in recent outings. I think the Phillies are going to run away with this game, so my Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins prediction is for the Phillies to win by at least two runs.