In this article we will formulate a Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, August 14th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 69-50 this year and they have lost four games in a row. Philadelphia lost game one in this series on Tuesday and they were shutout in the game. Prior to this series, the Phillies lost three out of four against the Diamondbacks, won two out of three against the Dodgers, and lost two out of three against the Mariners. Philadelphia is 4-11 in their last 15 games, but they are still leading the NL East.
The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.73 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 572 runs with a .254 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Alec Bohm is batting .295 with 12 home runs and 80 RBI’s for the Phillies this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 45-75 this season and they have lost three of their last five games. Miami did win game one by a score of 5-0 on Tuesday. Prior to this series, the Marlins lost two out of three against the Padres, lost three out of four against the Reds, and split four games with the Rays. Miami is 5-5 in their last 10 games and they are last in the NL East.
The Miami pitching staff has a 4.55 ERA, a 1.36 WHIP, and a .255 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 445 runs with a .237 batting average and a .293 on base percentage. Jake Burger is batting .251 with 23 home runs and 54 RBI’s for the Marlins this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Edward Cabrera, who is 2-3 with a 5.20 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP over 55.1 innings pitched this year. Cabrera has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Tyler Phillips, who is 4-1 with a 4.83 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 31.2 innings pitched this season. Phillips has allowed 12 earned runs in his last two starts (6.2 IP) against the Mariners and Dodgers.
Why the Marlins will beat the Phillies
- The Phillies have lost seven of their last eight games at Citizens Bank Park.
- The road team has won eight of the Marlins’ last 10 games.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games at Citizens Bank Park.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in five of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games.
- The Phillies have lost the first inning in each of their last three night games against National League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Marlins’ last eight games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Phillies’ last three games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last four games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last four night games against NL East opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has scored at least one run in each of his last eight Wednesday night appearances.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Phillies’ last five home games against NL opponents.
- Trea Turner has hit a home run in two of the Phillies’ last three games against opponents that held a losing record.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Jake Burger has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Marlins’ last 10 games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jake Burger has hit a home run in each of the Marlins’ last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jake Burger has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 13 night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jake Burger has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Marlins’ last nine night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jake Burger has scored at least one run in seven of the Marlins’ last eight night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last five Wednesday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction
Miami was able to stun the Philadelphia crowd on Tuesday night with a 5-0 win, and the Phillies have now lost four games in a row. Miami is 21-36 on the road this season, while Philadelphia is 38-22 at home. The Phillies have struggled since around the All-Star break, but they still have a comfortable lead in the NL East. Philly is starting Tyler Phillips, who was pitching very well, but he fell apart in his last two outings. Miami is going with Edward Cabrera, who has some ugly numbers on the season, but he has actually been quite good in his last three outings. This Philadelphia team is really struggling right now and with Cabrera pitching well, I think the fish can steal another one. My Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins prediction is for the Marlins to win.