Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction 10-4-23 MLB Picks

The Miami Marlins and the Philadelphia Phillies meet in game two of their NL Wild Card series in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday.

Marlins On The Brink Of Elimination

The Miami Marlins come into this game on the brink of elimination, down 0-1 in the series after a 4-1 loss in Tuesday’s series opener. Bryan De La Cruz accounted for Miami’s lone RBI while Josh Bell went 3 for 4 at the plate with a double. Jesus Sanchez, Jake Burger and Luis Arraez each had a base hit as well in the losing effort for Miami. Jesus Luzardo took the loss, falling to 0-1 after allowing three runs on eight hits with five strikeouts over just four innings of work. Braxton Garrett will start for the Marlins here and was 9-7 with a 3.66 ERA and 156 strikeouts in the regular season.

Miami Marlins Team Facts

The Marlins have won six of their last seven games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
The Marlins have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 night games against the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park following a loss.
The Marlins have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last four playoff games.
The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games at Citizens Bank Park.
The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

Jazz Chisholm has hit a home run in two of the Marlins’ last three games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances with the Marlins as underdogs against NL East opponents.
Luis Arraez has scored at least one run in five of his last six appearances after playing the previous day.
Braxton Garrett has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances with the Marlins as road underdogs.
Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL East opponents.
Josh Bell has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL East opponents.
Luis Arraez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.354) this season.

Phillies Looking To Get Back To NLDS

The Philadelphia Phillies are in search of one more win to get back to the NLDS after their win over the Marlins on Tuesday. Nick Castellanos and Alec Bohm each had a double and an RBI with Castellanos logging 2 doubles while Cristian Pache and Bryson Stott each had RBIs to round out the scoring for Philadelphia in the win. Trea Turner also went 2 for 3 with a double while Kyle Schwarber, Bryce Harper, J.T. Realmuto and Josh Rojas each had a base hit as well in the win. Zack Wheeler got the win to improve to 1-0 after allowing just the one run on five hits with eight strikeouts over 6.2 innings of work. Craig Kimbrel closed out the 9th for the save. Aaron Nola will start for the Phillies here and was 12-9 with a 4.46 ERA and 202 strikeouts this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Team Facts

The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as favorites against the Marlins following a home win.
The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against the Marlins following a home win.
The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games against the Marlins.
The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against the Marlins.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last three games as favorites against NL East opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in four of the Phillies’ last seven home playoff games.
Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Phillies’ last eight games as favorites against NL East opponents.
Nick Castellanos has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Phillies’ last eight games as favorites against NL East opponents.
Trea Turner has scored at least one run in 15 of his last 16 home appearances after playing the previous day.
Aaron Nola has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last 12 appearances against the Marlins.
Bryce Harper has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Marlins.
Kyle Schwarber ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (47) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Philadelphia Phillies are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
The Philadelphia Phillies are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
The Miami Marlins rank 27th in the league for RBI’s this season (633).
The Miami Marlins rank 4th in the league for batting average this season (.259).

Chris’ Pick

I’m sticking with the Marlins here. I’m just not all that sold on Aaron Nola and he’s been prone to giving up runs against Miami this season, allowing 4 runs in each of his three starts against the Fish this season. Braxton Garrett I’d argue is the staff ace of the Marlins and I just think that the Marlins come to fight here. Give me the Fish and the plus money.

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