The New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Sunday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The New York Mets will send out David Peterson here and Peterson is 3-5 with a 5.91 ERA and 58 strikeouts this season. Zack Wheeler will start for Philadelphia and is 6-1 with a 2.01 ERA and 62 strikeouts this season.
New York Mets Recap
The New York Mets come into this game looking to shake off a 15-3 loss at the hands of the Philadelphia Phillies last time out to sit at 34-42 this season. After this series, the Mets will head home for a series against the Chicago Cubs.
Mets Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped
Juan Soto has 65 hits with 7 doubles, 17 home runs and 38 RBIs. Brett Baty has 49 hits with 9 doubles, a triple, 3 home runs and 26 RBIs. Marcus Semien also has 61 hits with 8 doubles, 9 home runs and 29 RBIs as well this season. Bo Bichette also has 77 hits with 11 doubles, 8 home runs and 42 RBIs as well this season. Francisco Alvarez has also added 37 hits with 5 doubles and 5 home runs this season. Carson Benge also has 69 hits with 9 doubles, 2 triples, 8 home runs and 28 RBIs and Mark Vientos has added 47 hits with 9 doubles, 9 home runs and 32 RBIs.
Philadelphia Phillies Recap
The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Mets from Saturday to sit at 41-35 this season. After this series, the Phillies will head on the road for a series against the Washington Nationals.
Phillies Split Last Ten Games
Adolis Garcia has 45 hits with 8 doubles, 7 home runs and 21 RBIs while Kyle Schwarber has 71 hits with 9 doubles, 28 home runs and 49 RBIs. Brandon Marsh has 81 hits with 13 doubles, 9 home runs and 35 RBIs while Justin Crawford also has 52 hits with 10 doubles, 2 triples, 2 home runs and 16 RBIs. Trea Turner has 68 hits with 12 doubles, 7 home runs and 22 RBIs and Bryce Harper’s added 68 hits with 13 doubles, 16 home runs and 43 RBIs this season.
New York Mets @ Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends: June 21, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Zack Wheeler Record this season: 6-1 ERA: 2.01
- Home Record: 3-0
- Last 5 against Mets: 1-1
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won each of their last eight night games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Mets have lost each of their last 12 games as underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine road games against NL East opponents following a loss.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in six of their last seven home games against the Mets.
- The Phillies have won the first inning in four of their last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in 10 of their last 11 night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: David Peterson Record this season: 3-5 ERA: 5.91
- Road Record: 2-2
- Last 5 against Phillies: 1-1
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Phillies have lost three of their last four games as favorites following a win.
- The Mets have won six of their last eight games against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against National League opponents following a home win.
- The Mets have covered the run line in four of their last five night games against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have won the first inning in four of their last five night games against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Mets’ last six games as underdogs against the Phillies have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the last five games between the Mets and Phillies have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in 14 of the Mets’ last 15 night games against NL East opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of Zack Wheeler’s last nine home appearances as a starter.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in four of the Phillies’ last five night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Zack Wheeler has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 13 of his last 14 appearances with the Phillies as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Bryson Stott has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last eight games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in each of his last four home appearances against NL opponents.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (28) this season.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Juan Soto has hit at least one home run in four of his last seven road appearances against NL East opponents.
- Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last eight games against NL East opponents.
- Juan Soto ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.579) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (711).
- The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (209).
- The Mets rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (95).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.298).
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
I’m on the Phillies in this one. I just think Philadelphia has a significant edge in starting pitching with Wheeler going here over David Peterson, and right now I trust the Phillies’ bats more in a spot like this. The Mets continue to be hit or miss offensively and I think the Phillies take advantage with a win in this one.