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Philadelphia Phillies vs NY Mets Prediction 6-9-24 Picks

NY Mets (27-36) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (45-19)
June 9, 2024 10:10 am EDT
The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -154 / NY Mets +129; Over/Under: +10.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Philadelphia Phillies vs NY Mets prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, June 9th at London Stadium in London. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series. 

Phillies Look for Five Straight Wins 

The Philadelphia Phillies are 45-19 this year and they have won four games in a row. Philadelphia won the first game in this series by a score of 7-2 on Saturday afternoon. Prior to this series, the Phillies swept the Brewers in three games, won two out of three against the Cardinals, and lost two out of three against the Giants. Philadelphia is 7-1 in their last eight games and they are leading the NL East by nine games over the Braves. 

The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 2.90 ERA, a 1.12 WHIP, and a .219 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 327 runs with a .254 batting average and a .329 on base percentage. Bryce Harper is batting .276 with 15 home runs and 45 RBI’s for the Phillies this season. Philadelphia is second in the MLB in team ERA and they have allowed two runs or fewer in eight of their last nine games. 

Mets Try for Series Split 

The New York Mets are 27-36 this season and they have won three of their last four games. New York dropped game one in this series on Saturday, where they blew up in the fourth inning and allowed six runs. Prior to this series, the Mets swept the Nationals in three games, split four games with the Diamondbacks, and were swept by the Dodgers. New York is 5-3 in their last eight games and they are fourth in the NL East. 

The New York pitching staff has a 4.25 ERA, a 1.33 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 274 runs with a .242 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .243 with 14 home runs and 31 RBI’s for the Mets this season. New York is 16th in the MLB in runs scored this season and they have scored at least five runs in five of their last seven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Taijuan Walker, who is 3-1 with a 5.73 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP over 37.2 innings pitched this season. Walker has allowed nine earned runs over his last two starts, but did allow three earned runs or fewer in the three previous outings. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Jose Quintana, who is 1-5 with a 5.17 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 62.2 innings pitched this year. Quintana has allowed three earned runs in each of his last three starts and has allowed four hits in three of his last four. 

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

The Phillies have won seven of their last eight games.
The Mets have lost seven of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against teams that held a winning record.
The Phillies have covered the run line in five of their last six games against the Mets.

Why the New York Mets will win

The Phillies have lost six of their last seven Sunday day games as favorites against National League opponents.
The Mets have won four of their last five games against NL East opponents.
The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last four games after playing the previous day.
The Mets have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

Nine of the Phillies’ last 10 games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Five of the Mets’ last six games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last three games between the Mets and Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies vs NY Mets Prediction 

New York had several chances to put more runs on the board in game one of this series on Saturday, but they stranded quite a few runners and ended up with the 7-2 loss. Philadelphia is dominating the NL East right now and they have a nine game lead on the Braves. The Phillies are starting Walker, who has had some issues in his last two outings. The Mets will turn to Quintana, who has been decent in his last few outings, but has had a rough season. The over just missed hitting on Saturday, but I think the Mets will have more success against Walker in this matchup. My Philadelphia Phillies vs NY Mets prediction is for this game to go over the total. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Over 10.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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