In this article we will formulate a Philadelphia Phillies vs NY Mets prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, September 14th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 88-59 this year and they have won three of their last four games. Philadelphia lost the first game in this series and allowed 11 runs in the game. Prior to this series, the Phillies swept the Rays, split four games with the Marlins, and won both games against the Blue Jays. Philadelphia is 9-3 in their last 12 games and they are first in the NL East.
The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 717 runs with a .258 batting average and a .327 on base percentage. Bryce Harper is batting .289 with 26 home runs and 79 RBI’s for the Phillies this season.
NY Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 81-66 this season and they have won three of their last four games. New York won game one in this series by a score of 11-3 on Friday. Prior to this series, the Mets won two out of three against the Blue Jays, won two out of three against the Reds, and swept the Red Sox. New York is 12-2 in their last 14 games and they are second in the NL East.
The New York pitching staff has a 3.96 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .231 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 703 runs with a .247 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .240 with 32 home runs and 81 RBI’s for the Mets this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Kolby Allard, who is 2-0 with a 3.50 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 18.0 innings pitched this year. Allard has allowed two earned runs or fewer in two straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Luis Severino, who is 10-6 with a 3.74 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 166.0 innings pitched this season. Severino has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts.
Why the Mets will beat the Phillies
- The Mets have won seven of their last eight road games.
- The Phillies have lost each of their last four day games against National League opponents.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven day games against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have lost the first inning in each of their last four day games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mets’ last eight day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Phillies’ last four games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last 10 games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last five home games against National League opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Bryce Harper has scored at least one run in each of the Phillies’ last eight games against the Mets at Citizens Bank Park.
- Bryce Harper has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances against the Mets after playing the previous day.
- Bryce Harper has recorded at least one Double in three of the Phillies’ last four games against NL East opponents at Citizens Bank Park.
- Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances after playing the previous day.
- Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances.
- Alec Bohm has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances with the Phillies as underdogs.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances with the Phillies as underdogs against NL opponents.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Luis Severino has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Mets as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Brandon Nimmo has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four games against NL East opponents.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances with the Mets as road favorites.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 14 appearances with the Mets as road favorites.
- J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against the Phillies.
- Francisco Lindor has scored a run in seven of the Mets’ last eight road games.
- Starling Marte has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
- Luis Severino has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in day games.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded a Double in each of the Mets’ last three games against opponents that held a winning record.
Philadelphia Phillies vs NY Mets Prediction
New York continued their stretch of very strong play with a blowout win in game one of this series and they will look for another win here. The Mets are 41-32 on the road, while the Phillies are 50-26 at home. Philadelphia won the first three games in this season series, but they are just 1-3 in their last four meetings. New York has been one of the hottest teams in the MLB since July and they are starting Severino, who has been very good recently. Give me the Mets to win again.