Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres 10/22/22 MLB Picks, Predictions, Odds

The San Diego Padres and Philadelphia Phillies meet Saturday in game 4 of the MLB NLCS at Citizens Bank Park. The San Diego Padres need a win to even up the series at 2-2. The Philadelphia Phillies have a chance to take a commanding 3-1 series lead.

The San Diego Padres just couldn’t find their offense in their game 3 loss, and they’ve now been held to 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 9 postseason games. The Padres are 1-4 this postseason when scoring 3 or fewer runs. The Padres’ offense has to get going if they’re going to survive this series. Manny Machado leads the Padres with 11 hits and 6 RBI, while Jake Cronenworth and Austin Nola have combined for 19 hits and 11 RBI. Mike Clevinger gets the ball, and he was 7-7 with a 4.33 ERA and 91 strikeouts this season. Clevinger is 0-1 with a 5.74 ERA and 19 strikeouts in his postseason career.

The Philadelphia Phillies continue to show a balanced attack, but it’s their pitching that continues to shine this postseason. The Phillies have now allowed 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their first 9 postseason games. The Phillies have now won 10 of their last 12 games when allowing 3 or fewer runs. Bryce Harper leads the Phillies with 14 hits and 7 RBI, while Jean Segura and Alec Bohm have combined for 15 hits and 10 RBI. Bailey Falter gets the ball, and he was 6-4 with a 3.86 ERA and 74 strikeouts this season. This will be Falter’s career postseason debut.

The Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 Saturday games and 8-3 in their last 11 road games. The Phillies are 39-19 in their last 58 home games and 19-7 in their last 26 playoff home games. The over is 8-3-1 in Padres last 12 overall. The over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 home games. The Padres are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.

The Philadelphia Phillies have been the better team pretty much this entire series, and it makes them tough to ignore. However, Bailey Falter hasn’t pitched in a couple of weeks, he’s making his postseason debut, and he had a 5.49 ERA and .293 allowed batting average at home this season. Mike Clevinger was rocked in his postseason game against the Dodgers, and he had a 5.46 ERA and .255 allowed batting average on the road this season. Two pitchers with numbers that don’t bode well for this game. I like some fireworks. Give me the over.