In this article, we will formulate a Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, June 1st at Citizens Bank Park.
Cardinals Fall Short
The Cardinals fell short on Friday scoring only two runs and that led to the defeat. They gave up three runs in the bottom of the second inning and they couldn’t bounce back. Miles Mikoas got the start and he went six innings giving up three hits and one run. The Cardinals are averaging 3.94 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.59 runs per game. The offense is ranked 25th in the league while the pitching is ranked 22nd. They currently have a run differential of -0.65 which is 24th in the league. They have a batting average of .237 which is 17th in the league. Getting the start for the Cardinals will be Sonny Gray who sits with a 7-2 record and an ERA of 2.60. In his last start against the Cubs, he went five innings giving up one hit and zero runs.
Why Cardinals Will Win
- The Phillies have lost each of their last five games as home favorites against NL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Cardinals have won seven of their last 10 games as road underdogs against the Phillies following a road loss.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last four games following a loss.
- The Cardinals have led after 5 innings in four of their last six games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
Phillies Continue to Impress
The Phillies aren’t getting enough attention for how well they have played and they sit with a 40-18 record overall. Edmunado Sosa had a strong game hitting a home run and driving in two RBIs. The Phillies are averaging 5.25 runs while their pitching is giving up 3.62 runs per game. Teh offense is ranked 1st in the league while the pitching is ranked 4th. They do have a positive run differential of 1.63 which is 2nd in the league. Getting the start for the Phillies will be Ranger Suarez who sits with a 9-1 record and an ERA of 1.75. In his last start against the Colorado Rockies, he went six innings, giving up three hits and four earned runs.
Why the Phillies Will Win
- The Phillies have won each of their last 10 Saturday night home games against National League opponents.
- The Cardinals have lost seven of their last eight games at Citizens Bank Park.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line each of their last six night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against the Cardinals.
- The Cardinals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games at Citizens Bank Park.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against the Cardinals at Citizens Bank Park.
Philadelphia Phillies vs St Louis Cardinals Prediction
This game is going to be a pitchers duel. Suarez struggled in his last start but he’s going to bounce back in a big way and he sits with an ERA of 1.75. Sonny Gray sits with an ERA of 2.60 and in his last start he gave up zero runs. The Cardinals and Phillies are both going to struggle to get the offense going here, and that will be the difference here as this game is going to stay under the total. Back the under to cash.