The Toronto Blue Jays and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Friday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Toronto Blue Jays will send out Jose Soriano for his Blue Jay debut and is 9-6 with a 3.29 ERA and 127 strikeouts this season. Zack Wheeler will start for the Phillies and is 10-2 with a 2.49 ERA and 126 strikeouts this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Recap
The Toronto Blue Jays come into this game looking to bounce back from a 3-2 loss at the hands of the Chicago Cubs last time out to sit at 54-62 this season. After this series, the Blue Jays will head home for a series against the Boston Red Sox.
Blue Jays Alternate Wins & Losses In 6 Straight
Andres Gimenez has 80 hits with 17 doubles, a triple, 7 home runs and 41 RBIs while Ernie Clement has 125 hits with 27 doubles, 9 home runs and 38 RBIs. Kazuma Okamoto has 95 hits with 14 doubles, 24 home runs, 70 RBIs and a team-high 144 strikeouts while George Springer also has 14 doubles, 12 homers and 36 RBIs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has 104 hits with 18 doubles, 6 home runs and 44 RBIs as well. Jesus Sanchez also has 61 hits with 14 doubles, 8 home runs and 32 RBIs.
Philadelphia Phillies Recap
The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to add on to their 7-3 win over the Washington Nationals to sit at 62-54 this season. After this series, the Phillies will head on the road for a series against the St. Louis Cardinals.
Phillies Win 5 Of Last 6
Kyle Schwarber has 99 hits with 12 doubles, 33 home runs and 64 RBIs. Brandon Marsh has 114 hits with 17 doubles, 16 home runs and 51 RBIs while Justin Crawford also has 82 hits with 13 doubles, 3 triples, 2 home runs and 29 RBIs. Trea Turner has 117 hits with 20 doubles, 16 home runs and 45 RBIs and Bryce Harper’s added 104 hits with 22 doubles, 24 home runs and 68 RBIs this season.
Toronto Blue Jays @ Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends: August 7, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Zack Wheeler Record this season: 10-2 ERA: 2.49
- Home Record: 4-1
- Last 5 against Blue Jays: 1-0
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won 13 of their last 14 night games against AL East opponents following a home win.
- The Blue Jays have lost seven of their last eight games at Citizens Bank Park.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games against the Blue Jays following a home win.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six road games after going to extra innings.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last six night games against the Blue Jays.
- The Phillies have won the first inning in three of their last four games against the Blue Jays.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Jose Soriano Record this season: 9-6 ERA: 3.29
- Road Record: 6-4
- Last 5 against Phillies: 1-0
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Blue Jays have won each of their last four games as underdogs following a loss.
- The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as favorites following a home win.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last 12 games as road underdogs following an extra innings loss.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six home games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Blue Jays’ last five games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Phillies’ last five home games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last six home games.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight games.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Marsh has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last five games as home favorites against AL opponents.
- Zack Wheeler has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five home appearances.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Luis Arraez ranks 2nd in the league in Hits (141) this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Kazuma Okamoto has hit at least one home run in each of the Blue Jays’ last five Friday night games as underdogs.
- Jose Soriano has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Ernie Clement has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 10 road games against NL opponents.
- Jose Soriano has recorded a win in each of his last four road appearances against NL opponents.
- Ernie Clement ranks T8th in the league in Hits (125) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1133).
- The Phillies rank 28th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.307).
- The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (451).
- The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (7).
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
I’m on the under in this one. I think this is just a low-scoring battle between two teams with solid starting pitching in this game. Wheeler has the capability to go 7 innings whenever he takes the mound, and Soriano was a prize acquisition for the Jays at the deadline as a solid top-3 option with multiple years of control. I think this is a pitcher’s duel so give me the under.