The Washington Nationals and Philadelphia Phillies clash Thursday in game 4 of an MLB series at Citizens Bank Park. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals look to play spoiler after winning 12 of their last 19 games. The Nationals are dead last in the NL East with a 50-65 record. The Nationals pitching staff is 27th in ERA (4.91), 28th in WHIP (1.48) and 23rd in quality starts (34). The Nationals’ offense is 22nd in runs per game (4.31), 6th in batting average (.257) and 29th in homers (104). Lane Thomas leads the Nationals with 129 hits and 67 RBI, while Joey Meneses and Dominic Smith have combined for 224 hits and 93 RBI. Patrick Corbin gets the ball, and he is 7-11 with a 5.03 ERA and 89 strikeouts this season. Corbin is 6-9 with a 4.96 ERA and 92 strikeouts in his career against the Phillies.
Washington Nationals Team Facts
- The Nationals have lost each of their last 19 Thursday games against NL East opponents.
- The Nationals have covered the run line seven of their last eight night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven Thursday games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Nationals have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last eight Thursday games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Nationals have lost the first inning in each of their last three night games against National League opponents.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Joey Meneses has hit at least one home run in two of the Nationals’ last three night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Joey Meneses has scored at least one run in six of the Nationals’ last seven road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Patrick Corbin has recorded five or more strikeouts in 13 of his 17 previous road appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one total base in eight of his last nine road appearances after playing the previous day.
- Lane Thomas has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last eight Thursday games against opponents that held a winning record.
- CJ Abrams ranks T8th in the league in Steals (27) this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Phillies look to stay hot after winning 7 of their last 10 games. The Phillies are still holding onto the first wild card spot in the NL. The Phillies pitching staff is 11th in ERA (3.98), 8th in WHIP (1.23) and 7th in quality starts (51). The Phillies’ offense is 13th in runs per game (4.61), 9th in batting average (.256) and 17th in homers (131). Bryson Stott leads the Phillies with 127 hits and 44 RBI, while Nick Castellanos and Trea Turner have combined for 238 hits and 110 RBI. Aaron Nola gets the ball, and he is 9-8 with a 4.58 ERA and 147 strikeouts this season. Nola is 7-8 with a 3.94 ERA and 176 strikeouts in his career against the Nationals.
Philadelphia Phillies Team Facts
- The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Phillies have won the first inning in each of their last four night games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last four night games.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last three night games.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances at Citizens Bank Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Alec Bohm has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six home appearances against the Nationals.
- Bryce Harper has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last six home appearances against the Nationals after playing the previous day.
- Alec Bohm has scored at least one run in each of his last seven home appearances.
- Aaron Nola has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last seven Thursday appearances in night games.
- Bryce Harper has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 home appearances against the Nationals after playing the previous day.
Kyle Schwarber ranks 6th in the league in Home Runs (30) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Philadelphia Phillies are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
- The Philadelphia Phillies ranks 5th in the league for triples this season (21).
- The Washington Nationals ranks 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (168).
- The Washington Nationals ranks 29th in the league for home runs this season (104).
Randy’s Pick
The Phillies are the better team, they’re playing for something at this stage, they’re at home, so I understand being favorites. Also, the Phillies just no-hit the Nats last night. I get it. However, the Nationals have won 12 of their last 19 games, they’ve made the bettors’ money over the last month and there’s not a huge difference between Corbin and Nola this season. We’re getting more than two times our money by taking a shot with the Nationals. I’ll take another stab with the road dog in this series.
