The Houston Astros and Philadelphia Phillies meet Tuesday in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Phillies vs Astros Prediction. This article will include a Phillies vs Astros Pick.
Houston Astros Betting Preview
The Houston Astros are 73-71 on the year and play the Royals and Rays next. The Houston Astros are batting .240 on the season, have a .315 OBP, and have a .407 slugging percentage. The Houston Astros’ pitching staff has a 4.51 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. Yordan Alvarez leads the Houston Astros with 160 hits and 95 RBI, while Isaac Paredes and Christian Walker have combined for 244 hits and 156 RBI.
Hayden Wesneski gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 4-1 with a 3.18 ERA and 33 strikeouts this season. Wesneski is 1-1 with a 4.96 ERA and 18 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 81-63 on the year and play the Braves and Nationals next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .242 on the season, with a .312 OBP and a .400 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies’ pitching staff has a 3.96 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Bryce Harper leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 137 hits and 80 RBI, while Trea Turner and Brandon Marsh have combined for 266 hits and 109 RBI.
Andrew Painter gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 3-8 with a 5.55 ERA and 91 strikeouts this season. This will be Painter’s first career game against the Houston Astros.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won each of their last eight games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Astros have lost four of their last five games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have covered the run line each of their last nine games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight road games against NL opponents.
- The Phillies have won the first inning in three of their last four games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven night games against opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Astros have won 10 of their last 11 games as road underdogs following a loss.
- The Phillies have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against AL opponents following a win.
- The Astros have covered the run line in 14 of their last 15 games as road underdogs following a loss.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six home games against AL opponents.
- The Astros have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games at Citizens Bank Park.
- The Astros have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Twelve of the last 13 games between the Astros and Phillies have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Astros’ last six games has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Astros’ last seven night games.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of Andrew Painter’s last eight home appearances as a starter.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in five of the Phillies’ last six home games.
- Andrew Painter has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances.
- Luis Arraez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 home appearances against AL West opponents.
- Luis Arraez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (171) this season.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Jeremy Pena has hit a home run in each of the Astros’ last three games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Hayden Wesneski has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances against NL East opponents.
- Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.599) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1411).
- The Phillies are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
- The Astros rank 30th in the league for steals this season (44).
- The Astros rank 29th in the league for walks allowed this season (591).
Phillies vs Astros Prediction
The Astros have had success on the road, and Wesneski has been the more trustworthy arm with a 3.18 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. Painter is a struggling rookie who has a 5.55 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. He’s settled down recently, but his overall numbers aren’t ideal. The fact that you can get the Astros at plus money with the edge on the mound feels like a steal. Give me the Astros and the more favorable price.