In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Astros prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, September 9th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 81-64 this year after they lost game one by a score of 5-6 last night. Philadelphia fell behind early, but they cut the deficit to 6-5 in the ninth, before falling short in the loss. The Phillies recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Turner, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Painter allowed 10 hits and five earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Raley allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Philadelphia split four games with the Braves and won two out of three against the Diamondbacks.
This season, Philadelphia has a 3.98 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while they have scored 647 runs with a .242 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has led the Phillies with 43 home runs and 88 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added 27 home runs and 80 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Cristopher Sanchez, who is 16-5 with a 2.58 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 181.1 innings pitched this year.
Houston Astros Betting Preview
The Houston Astros are 74-71 this season after they won game one by a score of 6-5 on Tuesday. Houston scored five runs in the first four innings, but they barely held on for the win. The Astros recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Walker, who went 2-3 with one home run and three RBIs. Wesneski allowed five hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Hader picked up the save. Prior to this series, Houston lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks, but did win three out of four against the White Sox before that.
This season, Houston has a 4.51 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while they have scored 653 runs with a .240 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Yordan Alvarez has led the Astros with 38 home runs and 95 RBIs, while Christian Walker has added 25 home runs and 80 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Hunter Brown, who is 5-3 with a 3.31 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 87.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won eight of their last nine games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Astros have lost each of their last seven games as underdogs against NL opponents following a win.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a road win.
- The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine road games against NL opponents.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in six of their last eight night games against opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Astros have won each of their last five games against the Phillies.
- The Phillies have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against AL opponents.
- The Astros have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 night games against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four home games against AL opponents.
- The Astros have led after 3 innings in each of their last eight night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- The Astros have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games at Citizens Bank Park.
Total Runs Facts
- Twelve of the Phillies’ last 13 home games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Astros’ last six games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Astros’ last eight night games.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in four of the Phillies’ last five home games against AL West opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four games.
- Cristopher Sanchez has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against AL West opponents.
- Bryson Stott has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 11 games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Cristopher Sanchez has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Jeremy Pena has hit a home run in three of the Astros’ last four games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Hunter Brown has recorded five or more strikeouts in nine of his last 10 appearances with the Astros as underdogs.
- Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances against NL East opponents.
- Hunter Brown has recorded a win in four of his last five road appearances against NL opponents.
Phillies vs Astros Prediction
Houston opened this series with a win on Tuesday night, but they have lost two of their last three games. The Astros are 37-33 on the road this year, while the Phillies are 40-33 at home. Philadelphia has alternated wins and losses over their last five games and they have allowed 5+ runs in three of their last five games. The Phillies are starting Sanchez, who has allowed 3, 0, 4, 1, and 0 earned runs in his last five starts, while Brown has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight outings. Take the under in this contest.