In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 13th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 39-29 this year after they won two out of three against the Cubs by scores of 4-3, 4-8, and 7-2. In their game three win, Philadelphia scored six runs in the first four innings, and they cruised to the easy win. The Phillies recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Bohm, who went 2-4 with one home run and four RBIs in the win. Philadelphia started Luzardo, who allowed five hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Lazar allowed one earned run over 2.0 relief innings.
Prior to that series, the Phillies lost all three against the Pirates and two out of three against the Blue Jays. Philadelphia has lost six of its last eight games, and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .251 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 312 runs with a .254 batting average and a .328 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 21 home runs and 47 RBIs, while Trea Turner has added seven home runs and 30 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Ranger Suarez, who is 4-1 with a 2.70 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 43.1 innings pitched this year.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 38-30 this season after they swept the Cardinals in three games by scores of 5-4, 10-9, and 5-2. In their game three win, Toronto trailed 2-0 in the second inning, but they scored the last five runs in the game for the win. The Blue Jays recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Bichette, who went 1-3 with two RBIs in the win. Toronto started Lauer, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 4.1 innings, while Turnbull picked up the win and Rodriguez got the save.
Prior to that series, the Blue Jays won two out of three against the Twins and two out of three against the Phillies. Toronto has won 12 of its last 14 games, and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.06 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 296 runs with a .256 batting average and a .326 on-base percentage this season. Bo Bichette has led Toronto with eight home runs and 40 RBIs, while George Springer has added 10 home runs and 31 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Kevin Gausman, who is 5-4 with a 3.87 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP over 76.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Phillies will beat the Blue Jays
- The Phillies have won each of their last seven night games against AL East opponents following a home win.
- The Blue Jays have lost each of their last four night games against NL East opponents following a road win.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last five night games against the Blue Jays at Citizens Bank Park following a win.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight Friday road games against NL East opponents.
- The Blue Jays have lost the first inning in three of their last four night games against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven night games against AL East opponents.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Phillies’ last five games as favorites against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Phillies’ last nine games as favorites.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Blue Jays’ last seven games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against AL East opponents.
- Kyle Schwarber has recorded an RBI in eight of the Phillies’ last nine games as home favorites.
- Nick Castellanos has recorded a Double in five of his last six home appearances against the Blue Jays.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven home appearances against AL opponents.
- Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of the Phillies’ last five games as favorites against AL opponents.
- Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in 22 of his last 23 appearances in night games.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Alejandro Kirk has hit a home run in each of the Blue Jays’ last two night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- George Springer has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Blue Jays’ last seven road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Ernie Clement has recorded a Double in three of the Blue Jays’ last four games against NL opponents.
- Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six road appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored a run in five of his last six appearances after not playing the previous day.
- George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 15 road games against opponents that held a winning record.
Phillies vs Blue Jays Prediction
Toronto comes into this series with plenty of momentum, and they are now second in the AL East standings, but they will be on the road here. The Blue Jays are 16-17 on the road this year, while the Phillies are 21-13 at home. Philadelphia finally picked up a series win on Wednesday afternoon, but they have struggled over the last few weeks. The Phillies are starting Suarez, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight outings. The Jays are going with Gausman, who has allowed three earned runs or more in three of his last five starts. I know these two teams are trending in different directions, but I really like Suarez on the mound. Take the Phillies here.