In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Braves Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, September 13th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Atlanta Braves Preview
The Atlanta Braves have a 88-61 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL East. They have a 51-26 home record and are coming off a 12-2 home win against the Phillies. They will face the Cubs and the Astros next.
The Atlanta Braves have a .247 batting average this season, .310 OBP and .410 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 3.56 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Michael Harris II is the team’s best hitter with a .288 batting average, adding a team-high 83 RBI. Matt Olson adds a team-high 38 home runs.
Grant Holmes (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 9-5 record, 3.46 ERA and 1.29 WHIP.
Philadelphia Phillies Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies have a 82-67 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL East. They have a 41-33 away record and are coming off a 2-12 road loss against the Braves. They will face the Nationals and the Mets next.
The Philadelphia Phillies have a .241 batting average this season, .311 OBP and .399 Slugging percentage. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Bryce Harper is the team’s best hitter with a .271 batting average. Kyle Schwarber leads the team in RBI with 92 and adds a team-high 44 home runs.
Andrew Painter (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies, and he has a 3-9 record, 5.71 ERA and 1.41 WHIP.
Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves Betting Trends: September 13, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Grant Holmes Record this season: 9-5 ERA: 3.46
- Home Record: 7-4
- Last 5 against Phillies: 1-0
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Braves have won each of their last nine games against NL East opponents following a home win.
- The Phillies have lost each of their last eight games as underdogs against NL opponents.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line each of their last nine day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven Sunday games against the Phillies at Truist Park.
- The Braves have won the first inning in four of their last five home games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in nine of their last 11 home games against NL East opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Andrew Painter Record this season: 3-9 ERA: 5.71
- Road Record: 1-3
- Last 5 against Braves: 0-2
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won nine of their last 12 games as underdogs against the Braves following a road loss.
- The Braves have lost four of their last five day games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in five of their last six games as road underdogs against NL opponents following a loss.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five home games against NL opponents.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Braves’ last 10 day games against NL opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Phillies’ last six road games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Braves’ last six day games at Truist Park.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in eight of the Phillies’ last nine games as underdogs.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Braves’ last five games against the Phillies.
- Grant Holmes has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Drake Baldwin has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 16 home games.
- Matt Olson ranks T4th in the league in Home Runs (38) this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last three day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Andrew Painter has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances.
- Derek Hill has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (44) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 29th in the league for triples this season (11).
- The Braves rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.56).
- The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1451).
- The Phillies are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
Phillies vs Braves Prediction
The Braves are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against the Phillies and have won their last three meetings in Atlanta.
In this Phillies vs Braves Prediction, the Braves are coming as -130 home favorites. I like the Braves to keep rolling in this one, as they have dominated both games in this series and have the better pitching option as Grant Holmes goes up against Andrew Painter. Holmes has five shutouts in his last seven starts, while Painter has been shaky at best and the Braves have been hitting righties much better than the Phillies and have a superior bullpen ERA in their last 10 games. Take the Braves in this one.