The Atlanta Braves and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Tuesday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phillies vs Braves Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Atlanta Braves will send out Spencer Strider for the start here, and Strider is 0-2 with a 5.79 ERA and 8 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Phillies, Strider is 4-0 with a 2.61 ERA and 46 strikeouts. Ranger Suarez will get the start for the Phillies here and is 3-0 with a 3.70 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Braves, Suarez is 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA and 31 strikeouts.
Atlanta Braves Recap
The Atlanta Braves come into this game looking to bounce back from a 5-3 loss at the hands of the San Diego Padres last time out to fall to 25-27 on the year. After this series, the Braves will head home for a series against the Boston Red Sox.
Braves Settle For Another Series Split
Austin Riley leads the Braves with 58 hits, including 8 home runs, 28 RBIs, and 9 doubles, but also has the dubious distinction of leading Atlanta with 65 strikeouts so far this season. Ozzie Albies has 49 hits with 5 home runs and 19 RBIs in addition to 5 stolen bases, and Matt Olson has 46 hits with 9 doubles, 12 home runs, and 29 RBIs of his own. Marcell Ozuna also has 47 hits with 9 home runs and 24 RBIs. Michael Harris II also has 44 hits with 9 doubles, 2 triples, 3 home runs, and 31 RBIs, and 9 stolen bases as well, and Nick Allen has 6 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Braves have won each of their last 11 Tuesday night games against the Phillies.
- The Phillies have lost four of their last six games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Tuesday games against NL East opponents.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Matt Olson has hit a home run in four of the Braves’ last five road games.
- Spencer Strider has recorded a win in six of his last seven road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Michael Harris has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Braves’ last eight road games against NL opponents.
- Matt Olson has scored at least one run in each of the Braves’ last seven road games.
- Spencer Strider has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 20 of his last 21 appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances with the Braves as road underdogs against NL opponents.
- Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against NL East opponents.
- Alex Verdugo has recorded at least one Double in each of his last five Tuesday appearances against NL East teams that held a winning record.
- Marcell Ozuna ranks 5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.423) this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Recap
The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to rebound from a 5-4 loss at the hands of the Athletics last time out to fall to 34-19 on the year. After this series, the Phillies will square off against the Brewers at home.
Phillies Have Big Win Streak Snapped
Nick Castellanos has 55 hits with 13 doubles, including 4 home runs and 29 RBIs, while Kyle Schwarber has 49 hits with a team-high 18 home runs and 40 RBIs as well on the year. Bryce Harper has 8 stolen bases, 8 home runs, and 33 RBIs. Trea Turner also has 65 hits with a team-high 14 stolen bases. Max Kepler has 11 doubles and Bryson Stott has 5 doubles, 2 triples, 4 homers, and 24 RBIs, while Stott also has 10 stolen bases this season.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won each of their last 10 night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Braves have lost each of their last four night games against National League opponents.
- The Phillies have covered the run line each of their last seven games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six road games against National League opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Max Kepler has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against NL opponents.
- Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in each of the Phillies’ last six Tuesday games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Ranger Suarez has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Bryce Harper has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Phillies’ last six games as favorites against NL opponents.
- Ranger Suarez has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
- Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of the Phillies’ last 10 home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Alec Bohm has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances in night games.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (18) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Phillies’ last eight home games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Braves’ last eight road games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Phillies vs Braves Prediction
I’m on the Braves here. Despite the frustrating form of the Braves on the road this season, the fact of the matter here is that this is still a division rivalry matchup. Strider, despite some off numbers, for me, is still the ace or at worst, #2 in this Braves rotation. He’s owned the Phillies in his career, and I think that the Phillies will be fine in this series. I think it’s going to be low-scoring as I don’t think Suarez gets crushed, but he’s had recent issues in his career against Atlanta, and I think the Braves steal the opener. Give me Atlanta.