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Phillies vs Braves Prediction 5/29/25 MLB Picks Today

Atlanta Braves (25-28) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (35-19)
May 29, 2025 1:05 pm EDT
The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -148 / Atlanta Braves 124; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Braves prediction for this MLB doubleheader on Thursday, May 29, at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves (25-28, 9-19 Away) are not playing well at the moment, losing five of their previous six games. The Braves were swept by the Nationals in a two-game series (one was postponed), lost the series to the Padres, and fell to the Philadelphia Phillies in the opening game of this series. In that 2-0 defeat, Spencer Strider took the loss after allowing one run on one hit with seven strikeouts and four walks in 4.2 innings.

This season, the Braves average 4.08 runs per game (20th in the MLB) on a .246/.318/.387 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Braves’ staff has a 3.71 ERA (13th) and 1.24 WHIP (13th). Matt Olson leads the Braves with a .234 batting average, 12 home runs, and 29 RBI this season.

AJ Smith-Shawver will take the mound for the Braves in Game 1 on Thursday. The 22-year-old right-hander has a 3-2 record in eight starts this year with a 3.67 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 41.2 innings.

The projected starting pitcher for the Braves in Game 2 is Chris Saler, who is 2-3 in 11 starts this season, with a 3.36 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 61.2 innings.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies (35-19, 18-8 Home) were on a nine-game winning streak, their longest of the season, during which they swept the Pirates and Rockies, but failed to win Game 3 of the series against the Athletics and sweep them too. However, the Phillies returned to winning ways in Game 1 of the current series against the Braves. In a 2-0 victory, Ranger Suarez got the win after allowing no runs on four hits with eight strikeouts and three walks across 6.0 innings of work.

This year, the Phillies average 4.05 runs per game (6th in the MLB) on a .259/.336/.408 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Phillies’ staff has a 3.65 ERA (11th) and 1.25 WHIP (14th). Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with a .253 batting average, 18 home runs, and 40 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Phillies in Game 1 is Christopher Sanchez, who is 4-1 in ten starts this season, with a 3.17 ERA and 1.26 WHIP in 54.0 innings.

Zach Wheeler will take the mound for the Phillies in Game 2 on Thursday. The 34-year-old right-hander has a 6-1 record in 11 starts this year with a 3.36 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in 70.2 innings.

Total Runs Facts

  • Five of the Braves’ last six road games on the first leg of a doubleheader have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Nine of the Phillies’ last 11 day games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last 10 games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last five games between the Braves and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Phillies rank 4th in the league for batting average this season (.259).
  • The Phillies are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
  • The Braves rank 8th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.233).
  • The Braves rank T22nd in the league for runs scored this season (216).

Phillies vs Braves Prediction

The Phillies won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including four of the last six. Seven of the past ten H2H went Under, including five of the last six. Also, seven of Philadelphia’s previous ten games went Under, which was the case in six of Atlanta’s last ten. Both teams will start pretty much the best they have on the mound in both games, so I expect low-scoring affairs. Back Under in Game 1 and Game 2 of this divisional doubleheader.

Oliver Zivic's Free Pick: Game 1: Under 8.5 Game 2: Under 7.5

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Oliver Zivic

Professional journalist and expert bettor with 20+ years of experience. I cover Football (soccer), NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB, CFB, and CBB.

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