In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 31st at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 79-57 this season after they won the first three games in this series by scores of 19-4, 2-1, and 3-2. In their game three win, Philadelphia blew a 1-0 lead in the sixth inning, but they scored twice in the bottom of the 10th for the win. The Phillies recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Turner, who went 3-4 with two RBIs in the win. Philadelphia started Sanchez, who allowed seven hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings, while Strahm picked up the win in relief.
Prior to this series, the Phillies lost all three against the Mets, but did win two out of three against the Nationals before that. Philadelphia has won three games in a row and they are still first in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.82 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 649 runs with a .257 batting average and a .327 on base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 49 home runs and 119 RBIs, while Nick Castellanos has added 16 home runs and 61 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Jesus Luzardo, who is 12-6 with a 4.23 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 149.0 innings pitched this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 61-75 this year after they lost game three by a score of 3-2 on Saturday night. Atlanta took a 2-1 lead in the top of the 10th inning, but couldn’t hold the line in the bottom half of the inning for the loss. The Braves recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Olson and Alvarez Jr., who both had one RBI in the loss. Atlanta started Sale, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings, while Stratton picked up the loss in extras.
Prior to this series, the Braves won two out of three against the Marlins, but did lose two out of three against the Mets before that. Atlanta has lost three straight games and they are currently fourth in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 4.41 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 601 runs with a .244 batting average and a .321 on base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 21 home runs and 76 RBIs, while Marcell Ozuna has added 20 home runs and 62 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Hurston Waldrep, who is 4-0 with a 0.90 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP over 30.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the Phillies will beat the Braves
- The Phillies have won each of their last eight home games after playing the previous day.
- The Braves have lost seven of their last eight games at Citizens Bank Park.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in eight of their last 10 games as home favorites after going to extra innings.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in 13 of their last 15 games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last nine games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Braves will beat the Phillies
- The Phillies have lost six of their last nine games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
- The Braves have won each of their last three night games after going to extra innings.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games against the Braves following a win.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last seven games at Citizens Bank Park following a road loss.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last six Sunday night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Four of the Phillies’ last five home games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Braves’ last eight road games following an extra innings loss have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Braves’ last 11 night games at Citizens Bank Park.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the last 10 games between the Braves and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- J.T. Realmuto has hit a home run in four of his last seven home appearances.
- Jesus Luzardo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last seven home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Bryce Harper has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Sunday appearances against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Trea Turner ranks 2nd in the league in Hits (168) this season.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Sean Murphy has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against the Phillies.
- Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Phillies after playing the previous day.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (1246).
- The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (364).
- The Braves rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (488).
- The Braves rank T24th in the league for steals this season (68).
Phillies vs Braves Prediction
Philadelphia was able to escape a close call to get another win in this series on Saturday night and they will try to make it four in a row here. The Phillies are 45-22 at home this season, while the Braves are 28-42 on the road. Atlanta’s offense has been super inconsistent this year and they are facing Luzardo, who has allowed three earned runs or more in three of his last five starts. The Phillies are going against Waldrep, who has been elite in limited action for Atlanta this year. I think we are going to see a lower scoring battle here and I like the under in this contest.