The Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies meet Sunday in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Phillies vs Braves Prediction. This article will include a Phillies vs Braves Pick.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 84-58 on the year and play the Rays and Phillies next. The Atlanta Braves are batting .248 on the season and have a .312 OBP and a .412 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves’ pitching staff has a 3.58 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Michael Harris II leads the Atlanta Braves with 150 hits and 80 RBI, while Matt Olson and Ozzie Albies have combined for 275 hits and 148 RBI.
Tyler Mahle gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 5-10 with a 4.25 ERA and 121 strikeouts this season. Mahle is 1-2 with a 3.80 ERA and 21 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 80-62 on the year and play the Astros and Braves next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .242 on the season, with a .313 OBP and a .400 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies’ pitching staff has a 3.98 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Bryce Harper leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 137 hits and 80 RBI, while Trea Turner and Brandon Marsh have combined for 263 hits and 109 RBI.
Aaron Nola gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 6-10 with a 4.93 ERA and 157 strikeouts this season. Nola is 17-12 with a 3.80 ERA and 238 strikeouts in his career against the Atlanta Braves.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won each of their last seven home games after playing the previous day.
- The Braves have lost three of their last four games after playing the previous day.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last five home games after playing the previous day.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games after playing the previous day.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against NL East opponents.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Braves have won four of their last five games as underdogs.
- The Phillies have lost each of their last five day games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 games against the Braves following a win.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last eight road games against the Phillies following a road loss.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in five of their last six day games against the Phillies.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games at Citizens Bank Park.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Braves’ last eight day games against NL opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the last eight games between the Braves and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in 13 of the Braves’ last 14 games.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in four of the Phillies’ last five home games.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four home games.
- Aaron Nola has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 10 games against the Braves.
- Aaron Nola has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances.
- Luis Arraez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (170) this season.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Sean Murphy has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last two day games.
- Tyler Mahle has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five road appearances against NL East opponents.
- Austin Riley has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the Braves as road underdogs against the Phillies.
- Tyler Mahle has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL East opponents.
- Matt Olson ranks T4th in the league in Home Runs (37) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1392).
- The Phillies are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
- The Braves rank 29th in the league for triples this season (9).
- The Braves rank 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (541).
Phillies vs Braves Prediction
The Braves are the better team no matter how you slice it, and Nola has been a shell of himself this season with a 4.93 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. Nola is coming off a strong August, but his season numbers are still ugly, and he has a 5.72 ERA and a .297 allowed batting average at home. Also, the current Braves are batting .291 with a .344 on-base percentage in 388 at-bats. Pick ’em spot: I’ll gladly grab the Braves on the road.