In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Monday, September 7th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 80-63 this year after they lost two of the first three games by scores of 2-5, 4-2, and 4-5. In game three, Philadelphia led 4-1 in the seventh inning, but the bullpen blew the lead for the loss. The Phillies recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Hill, who went 1-2 with one home run and one RBI. Nola allowed four hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings, while Duran picked up the loss in relief. Prior to this series, Philadelphia won two out of three against the Diamondbacks and all three against the Angels.
This season, Philadelphia has a 3.99 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while they have scored 641 runs with a .242 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has led the Phillies with 42 home runs and 86 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added 27 home runs and 80 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Jesus Luzardo, who is 13-5 with a 3.02 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 169.2 innings pitched this year.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 85-58 this season after they won game three by a score of 5-4 on Sunday. Atlanta tied the game in the eighth inning and scored the winning run in the ninth for the comeback win. The Braves recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Acuna Jr, who went 2-3 with one home run and four RBIs. Mahle allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Lee picked up the win in relief. Prior to this series, Atlanta split two games with the Nationals and lost a makeup game with the Giants.
This season, Atlanta has a 3.57 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .232 opponent batting average, while they have scored 665 runs with a .248 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Matt Olson has led the Braves with 37 home runs and 80 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin has added 22 home runs and 69 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Grant Holmes, who is 9-5 with a 3.62 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 131.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won seven of their last eight home games after playing the previous day.
- The Braves have lost six of their last seven road games following a win.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against NL opponents following a home loss.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Monday games.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in five of their last six day games against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have lost the first inning in three of their last four games at Citizens Bank Park.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Braves have won five of their last six games as underdogs.
- The Phillies have lost three of their last four games as favorites.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have covered the run line in eight of their last nine road games against the Phillies.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine Monday day games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Braves’ last nine day games against NL opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Ten of the Phillies’ last 12 home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in 13 of the Braves’ last 15 day games.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in five of the Phillies’ last six home games.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in four of the Phillies’ last five home games.
- Jesus Luzardo has recorded nine or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Luis Arraez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 24 appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Jesus Luzardo has recorded a win in each of his last five home appearances against NL East opponents.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Braves’ last four games.
- Austin Riley has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with the Braves as road underdogs against the Phillies.
Phillies vs Braves Prediction
Philadelphia comes into this matchup after losing three of their last four games and they have allowed five runs in two of their last three. The Phillies are 39-32 at home this year, while the Braves are 37-34 on the road. Atlanta has won three of their last four games and they have scored 5+ runs in four of their last five. The Braves are starting Holmes, who has allowed 0, 3, 0, 6, and 0 earned runs in his last five starts, while Luzardo has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight outings. Take the under here.