In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Brewers Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, June 14th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 42-26 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL Central. They have a 22-14 home record and are coming off a 8-9 home defeat against the Phillies. They will face the Guardians and the Braves next.
The Brewers have a .255 batting average this season, .341 OBP and .392 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.50 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. William Contreras is the team’s best hitter with a .291 batting average. Jake Bauers leads the team in RBI with 46, adding a team-high 13 home runs.
Kyle Harrison (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 7-1 record, 2.72 ERA and 1.16 WHIP.
Philadelphia Phillies Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies have a 38-32 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL East. They have a 19-15 road record and are coming off a 9-8 road win against the Brewers. They will face the Marlins and the Mets next.
The Phillies have a .229 batting average this season, .298 OBP and .389 Slugging percentage. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Brandon Marsh is the team’s best hitter with a .328 batting average. Kyle Schwarber leads the team in RBI with 42, adding a team-high 24 home runs.
Cristopher Sanchez (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies, and he has a 8-2 record, 1.54 ERA and 1.06 WHIP.
Philadelphia Phillies @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: June 14, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Kyle Harrison Record this season: 7-1 ERA: 2.72
- Home Record: 4-1
- Last 5 against Phillies: 0-1
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The underdogs have won seven of the last eight games between the Phillies and Brewers.
- The Phillies have lost six of their last seven games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in eight of the last nine games between the Phillies and Brewers.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games following a road win.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in three of their last four games.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games as underdogs.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez Record this season: 8-2 ERA: 1.54
- Road Record: 3-1
- Last 5 against Brewers: 0-0
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won 11 of their last 13 road games after playing the previous day.
- The Brewers have lost five of their last six home games against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 road games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as home underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games as road favorites.
- The Phillies have won the first inning in six of their last eight games as road favorites.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games as road favorites.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Brewers’ last eight games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Phillies’ last seven games as road favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Brewers’ last nine games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last four games as favorites against National League opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Jackson Chourio has hit at least one home run in three of the Brewers’ last four games.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 home appearances against the Phillies.
- Kyle Harrison ranks T10th in the league for Wins (7) this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Marsh has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last two day games.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against the Brewers after playing the previous day.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks T1st in the league in Home Runs (24) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (669).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.341).
- The Phillies rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (92).
- The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (195).
Phillies vs Brewers Prediction
The Brewers are 6-3 in their last 9 meetings against the Phillies but are 2-3 in their last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.
In this Phillies vs Brewers Prediction, the Phillies are coming as -120 road favorites. We got a pitching duel in this game, as Cristopher Sanchez, who has the second-best ERA in baseball, goes up against Kyle Harrison, who prior to his last start, had only given up one run in four starts. He also has an elite 1.50 home ERA and before yesterday’s 17-run outbreak, both teams were 6-1 to the under in their last 7 games combined. Take the under 7 in this one.