The Milwaukee Brewers and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Friday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phillies vs Brewers Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Milwaukee Brewers will send out Chad Patrick and Patrick is 2-4 with a 2.97 ERA and 51 strikeouts this season. This will be Patrick’s first career start against Philadelphia. Jesus Luzardo will get the start for the Phillies and is 5-0 with a 2.15 ERA and 77 strikeouts this season. In his career, Luzardo is 1-1 with a 4.00 ERA and 13 strikeouts against the Brewers.
Milwaukee Brewers Recap
The Milwaukee Brewers come into this game looking to build on their 6-2 win over the Phillies on Friday to improve to 30-28 on the year. After this series, the Brewers will head on the road for a series against the Cincinnati Reds.
Brewers Win Fifth In A Row
Brice Turang has 56 hits with 4 home runs, 22 RBIs and 14 stolen bases while Jackson Chourio has 60 hits with a team-high 17 doubles, 8 home runs and 29 RBIs and Sal Frelick has 57 hits as well as 3 triples and 11 stolen bases so far this season. Christian Yelich also has 10 stolen bases with 12 homers and 38 RBIs while also adding 5 doubles. Yelich also has a team-high 63 strikeouts up to this point in the year. William Contreras has 5 homers and 25 RBIs as well this season. Rhys Hoskins has added 48 hits with 7 home runs, 29 RBIs and 9 doubles.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last five games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a road win.
- The Phillies have lost six of their last seven games as favorites against the Brewers following a home loss.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as road underdogs.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line each of their last five home games against teams that held a winning record.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Christian Yelich has hit at least one home run in two of the Brewers’ last three games.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded a Double in three of the Brewers’ last four games as road underdogs against NL opponents.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Brewers’ last five road games against NL East opponents.
- Jackson Chourio has scored at least one run in each of the Brewers’ last four road games against NL East opponents.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one Single in each of the Brewers’ last seven road games against NL East opponents.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Brewers as road underdogs against NL opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies Recap
The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Brewers on Friday to slip to 36-21 on the year. After this series, the Phillies will head on the road for a series against the Toronto Blue Jays.
Phillies Drop Back-To-Back Games
Nick Castellanos has 63 hits with 14 doubles including 5 home runs and 30 RBIs while Kyle Schwarber has 53 hits with a team-high 19 home runs and 42 RBIs as well on the year. Bryce Harper has 8 stolen bases, 13 doubles, 8 home runs and 33 RBIs. Trea Turner also has 68 hits with a team-high 14 stolen bases. Max Kepler has 12 doubles and Bryson Stott has 6 doubles, 2 triples, 4 homers and 24 RBIs while Stott also has 11 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won each of their last nine day games against National League opponents following a home loss.
- The Brewers have lost each of their last nine Saturday games.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in six of their last seven games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Nick Castellanos has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four games as favorites against the Brewers.
- Jesus Luzardo has recorded eight or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL Central opponents.
- Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of his seven previous Saturday day appearances against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances against the Brewers after playing the previous day.
- Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 11 day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Bryce Harper has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances with the Phillies as favorites against NL opponents.
- Jesus Luzardo has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks T3rd in the league in Home Runs (19) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last eight games between the Brewers and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Brewers’ last seven games as underdogs against the Phillies have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Phillies vs Brewers Prediction
I’m on the Phillies here. Luzardo has quickly established himself as one of the better lefties in baseball, and the Brewers haven’t been overly strong against left-handed pitching in the last couple of weeks. Patrick is far from a world-beater in this Brewer rotation and while the Brewers are hot, this is the kind of spot where Luzardo can step up as the stopper and get the job done. I’ll roll with Philadelphia at home for the bounce back here.