The Milwaukee Brewers and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Sunday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Milwaukee Brewers will send out Jose Quintana for the start here and Quintana is 4-1 with a 2.65 ERA and 24 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Phillies, Quintana is 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 24 strikeouts. Ranger Suarez will get the start for the Phillies and is 4-0 with a 2.97 ERA and 31 strikeouts this season. In his career, Suarez is 0-1 with a 3.48 ERA and 19 strikeouts against the Brewers.
Milwaukee Brewers Recap
The Milwaukee Brewers come into this game looking to add on to their 17-7 win over the Phillies from Saturday’s matchup to bring their record to 31-28 on the year. After this series, the Brewers will head on the road again for a division series against the Cincinnati Reds.
Brewers Win 6th In A Row
Brice Turang has 56 hits with 4 home runs, 22 RBIs and 14 stolen bases while Jackson Chourio has 60 hits with a team-high 17 doubles, 8 home runs and 29 RBIs and Sal Frelick has 57 hits as well as 3 triples and 11 stolen bases so far this season. Christian Yelich also has 10 stolen bases with 12 homers and 38 RBIs while also adding 5 doubles. Yelich also has a team-high 63 strikeouts up to this point in the year. William Contreras has 5 homers and 25 RBIs as well this season. Rhys Hoskins has added 48 hits with 7 home runs, 29 RBIs and 9 doubles.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last six games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a road win.
- The Phillies have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against the Brewers following a home loss.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Sunday games as home favorites.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as road underdogs against NL East opponents following a road win.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Rhys Hoskins has hit at least one home run in four of his last seven appearances at Citizens Bank Park against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded a Double in four of the Brewers’ last five games as road underdogs against NL opponents.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Brewers’ last six road games against NL East opponents.
- Jackson Chourio has scored at least one run in seven of the Brewers’ last eight games against NL opponents.
- Jose Quintana has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his seven previous appearances at Citizens Bank Park.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one Single in each of the Brewers’ last eight road games against NL East opponents.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the Brewers as road underdogs against NL opponents.
- Jose Quintana has recorded a win in each of his last three road appearances against NL opponents.
- Brice Turang ranks T10th in the league in Steals (14) this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Recap
The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Brewers on Friday to slip to 36-22 on the year. After this series, the Phillies will head on the road for an interleague series against the Toronto Blue Jays.
Phillies Lose Three Straight
Nick Castellanos has 63 hits with 14 doubles including 5 home runs and 30 RBIs while Kyle Schwarber has 53 hits with a team-high 19 home runs and 42 RBIs as well on the year. Bryce Harper has 8 stolen bases, 13 doubles, 8 home runs and 33 RBIs. Trea Turner also has 68 hits with a team-high 14 stolen bases. Max Kepler has 12 doubles and Bryson Stott has 6 doubles, 2 triples, 4 homers and 24 RBIs while Stott also has 11 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won nine of their last 10 day games against National League opponents following a home loss.
- The Brewers have lost each of their last six Sunday games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line each of their last six Sunday day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in six of their last eight games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one Double in each of the Phillies’ last three games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- Alec Bohm has hit a home run in two of the Phillies’ last three games against the Brewers.
- Kyle Schwarber has recorded an RBI in each of the Phillies’ last six games as home favorites against NL opponents.
- Ranger Suarez has recorded six or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 11 home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Ranger Suarez has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances.
- Kyle Schwarber has scored a run in each of the Phillies’ last four day games.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances against the Brewers after playing the previous day.
- Kyle Schwarber has recorded two or more hits in each of the Phillies’ last four games as favorites against the Brewers.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks 4th in the league in Home Runs (19) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the last nine games between the Brewers and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Brewers’ last six road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
I’m on the Phillies here. It’s not overly fun to go against the Brewers in their current form, but this is a tricky spot for Jose Quintana coming back from injury against a Phillies team that was obliterated on Saturday and will likely be coming back to salvage something here. Ranger Suarez has been pretty solid in his starts so far this season and I think he has another strong showing here. Give me the Phillies in this one.